The euro continues to attract candidates
Posted by adminThe crisis in the eurozone, triggered by the financial woes of Greece, does not discourage candidates for membership. Instead, the accelerated deadlines. Next on the list, Estonia – a member of the European Union since 2004, like its Baltic neighbors – has become in January the 17th state to adopt the single currency when it emerges just one of the worst recessions its history. The small Baltic state announced Friday a fiscal deficit and public debt for 2009 well below the limits set by the European Union, respectively 1.7% and 7.2%. These exemplary figures are enough to make the envy of the major European countries even if they hide a decline in GDP of 14%.
With these results, the government intends to pass his entrance examination in May for publishing the report in Brussels in June and especially in the political verdict Finance Ministers."I do not see how they could refuse," said Estonian Minister of Foreign Affairs Urmas Paet. Most countries in the euro area far exceed the criteria, "Bill Thomson, OECD, grade:" One can always interpret in one way or another, especially on the sustainability of public finances. This is a political decision. "As such, the entry of Estonia into the OECD in late May it provides proof of credibility.
Yet a year ago, few experts would have bet on the country joining the single currency. After years of euphoria, the country has suffered serious setbacks: the collapse of the housing bubble, crash consumption, falling exports … and unemployment rising sharply, to 14%.
Unlike most countries that have tirelessly to revive the machine, the strategy here was quite different, based at the end of 2008 on the restrictions.Salaries down, the tax burden to rise, spending freeze … In 2009, savings accounted for 9.2 points of GDP. All without protest or strike extent. "If we compare the living standards of the time (prior to its independence from Russia in 1991) and today is the day and night. Wages have increased significantly between 2005 and 2008, justifies Rein Minka, vice president of the central bank. "Estonians do not complain, it is not in their nature. They have not forgotten the rationing of the Soviet era, reflects Stecken Antoine, a French importer of cosmetics. They are also followers of the liberal model. "There is a consensus policy, including public opinion, to deny recovery by the public debt," said Maris Lauri, chief economist at Swedbank.
Meanwhile, the newspaper in Tallinn is very difficult.In the image Meeli Lass, 39, 4 children, opera singer, who supports her family with a salary of 13000couronnes (around 830euros) – good pay, judge the young woman. Her husband was fired, and his eldest daughter graduated last nine months looking for a job. "It tightens belt: no output, no new clothes. This winter, heating costs have soared because of very severe cold, they make up half of our budget. We still have potatoes that my husband grows outside the city. "What can we expect Does the euro? "This will be worse, answered Meeli with fatalism. Prices will rise as in Slovenia. And the country loses a little more independence. "
Flexible economy
According to surveys, almost 55% of the population believe the contrary to the virtues of the euro. He starts by removing the specter of devaluation ruinous for the country.Despite the fixed exchange rate regime, many rumors have circulated at the height of the crisis, the contagion of a Latvian lat devalued. The government also relies on the euro to attract investors. "We have a diverse economy and a very flexible system of single tax to 21%. Moreover, if the company reinvests it pays no taxes, "argues the minister of Economy, Juhan Parts.
For Maris Lauri, the only apparent in the short term will come from exports, which have already started to leave. "Estonia has a large network of SMEs that can adapt and produce in small quantities," said the economist. The close cultural, linguistic and geographical Finland is an undeniable asset. In two hours by ferry from Helsinki to Estonia, which produces a third less expensive, has become the preferred subcontractor of Finland.It cultivates its differences with its two Baltic neighbors: Latvia leaded by a banking crisis and real estate and Lithuania dependent on markets in Germany and Poland, which has seen its market collapse.
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