International & World Report

Until this afternoon, prudence and tensions were on the agenda of this meeting at the Paris Bourse. But at the opening of Wall Street, where the indices have moved into the green after six consecutive sessions of decline, the CAC 40 rebounded to finish sharply higher on Thursday from 1.06% to 3878.65 points . The figure on foreign trade in the U.S., better than expected, reassured investors cooled by a series of bad numbers in the U.S. and the Fed has not proved reassuring about the economic recovery of the first power of world.The Beige Book from the U.S. central bank (Fed), published during the session on Wall Street has reinforced the comments made by chilling the day before Ben Bernanke: "Economic activity continued to grow in general, but a small number of regions have expressed some slowing. "

Remains in the United States, the situation remains worrying in that the U.S. government can not reach agreement on a possible increase in the debt ceiling from the federal government, which must yet be approved before August 2 . After S & P and Moody's, Fitch has in turn launched an alert on U.S. debt, threatening the country's triple-A.

Elsewhere in Europe, the trend is good too.The London Stock Exchange finished up 0.82% to 5856.34 points and the DAX index of the Frankfurt Stock Exchange was up 1.41% to 7159.66 points.

Consumption expenditure of households leave

In France, payroll employment has increased its recovery in the first quarter and the balance of agency has eased, according to Insee. The sectors mainly merchants have created a total of 58,200 jobs after 48,300 over the last three months of 2010, an increase of 0.4% against 0.3% on the previous quarter.

Consumption expenditure of households is distributed last year (+1.3% in real terms after only 0.1% a year earlier in a crisis).This has contributed to two thirds of the growth of the French economy in the year of recovery after the global recession of 2009.

Inflation, measured by changes in consumer prices, rose 1.8% between late 2009 and late 2010, year on year, double the previous year.

In the U.S., new jobless claims were virtually unchanged, said Thursday the Labor Department, which identified the filing of 427,000 benefit claims in the country from 29 May to 4 June, while analysts expected 423,000 new registrations.

The euro and oil up

On the currency side, around 17:30, the single European currency fell back and was worth 1.4516 dollars against 1.4575 dollars late Wednesday.

Side oil prices are trending upward, failing agreement within OPEC to increase crude production.On the New York Mercantile Exchange (Nymex), a barrel of light sweet crude for July delivery traded at 101.61 dollars, up 87 cents from the previous day.

LVMH would prepare a "supply shock" Hermes

Hermes: 2.21% to 191.95 euros, LVMH: 0.65% to 116.90 euros

Rumors times by the British newspaper Daily Mail, LVMH would prepare an offer of 350 euros per share Hermes, which holds 20.21% stake, a premium of almost 100%.

Peugeot SA: +2.42% to 28.41 euros

The automaker PSA Peugeot Citroen plans to close its site of Aulnay-sous-Bois (Seine-Saint-Denis) "Current 2014" and that of Sevelnord (North) in 2013, threatening 6,200 jobs, according to an internal document of the group presented to the press Thursday by the CGT.

Club Med: + 5.11% to 16.13 euros

The group announced on Thursday a profit of 10 million euros in the first half, against 3 million in the first half of 2010. The indicator of profitability of the villages of the French group jumped 67% to 47 million euros.

Remy Cointreau: + 0.11% to 56.56 euros

The group reported a net profit 2011en 2010-down more than 18%, to 107.5 million euros, 109 million lower than expected by the market.

Ipsen: -3.24% to 25.83 euros

The band announced an increased specialization and investment under its new strategy.He envisions one-time charges of 80 to 100 million euros before taxes in 2011 and 2012, related to the implementation of this strategy will require the closure of Research & Development in Barcelona.

Air France-KLM: -0.79% to 10.71 euros

The airline announced Wednesday an increase in passenger traffic in May, albeit at a slower pace than in April, which had benefited from favorable comparison bases.

Aeroports de Paris: + 0.95% to 64.91 euros

ADP announced Wednesday it had entered into exclusive negotiations with the operator of airport services 3S Group to cede a majority stake in its ground handling activities.

EADS: + 1.72% to 21.57 euros

The largest private airline in India, Jet Airways, will be ordered ten Airbus A330 aircraft, said its chairman Naresh Goyal quoted Thursday in the daily The Economic Times.

Schneider Electric: + 3.07% to 114.10 euros

The French electrical equipment manufacturer announced Thursday the acquisition of the Chinese Leader & Harvest Power Technologies Holdings, which specializes in variable speed drives, based on a valuation of 450 million euros (including debt).

EDF: + 1% at 27.33 euros

EDF could be tested by the weather this summer. RTE, the French electricity network operator, today the government's scenario for the summer.Dry weather and heat wave could cause the system to its limits.

Sopra: + 1.08% to 85.51 euros

The shareholders gave the green light Wednesday to the proposed demerger and listing of Axway Software, the software division of group counseling and services.

Next recommendation, Suez Environment (2.11% to 14.28 euros, the biggest increase ACC) is supported by JPMorgan, while Havas (1.49% to 3.54 euros) is supported by an increase of Kepler's opinion to buy, cons ease.

Saint Gobain, Bolloré and Ruby hold their general meeting today.

"QUIZ Estimate the Cac 40 in late June

To those who doubt the impact of future rules on the banking sector, the market this Friday brings an answer without ambiguity. It was enough that the Financial Times raised the prospect of a fresh application of standards known as "Basel 3" for all European banking stocks rebound sharply! Crédit Agricole wins 3.61% to 10.62 euros, BNP Paribas climbed from 2.03% to 53.36 euros, the two largest increases Cac 40 and Societe Generale is 1.39% 42.32 euros. And this while the Paris Bourse advance of 0.77% to 3947.39 points.

According to British newspaper, that the deduction of bank capital and capital employed in the insurance industry that have been announced including less severe than anticipated. Good news, if it were true for large bancassurance groups that are French.

In fact, several elements collide in the European regulation.The European Commission initiated the drafting of the Directive (CRD 4), which transpose Basel 3. But the text does not fix a ceiling for leverage, since Basel 3 ratio does not compulsory but a tool available to regulators. Nor does it impose any standard of liquidity, since the Basel Committee provides a period of observation before definitively concluding its normative work. These elements are sometimes misinterpreted as a softening of the device.

A market sentiment indeed confirmed by another rumor that swells in the financial world: the possibility that the obligations imposed by Basel 3 are relaxed or shifted to European banks if a restructuring of the Greek sovereign debt should intervene.

The Cac 40, which is briefly fell below the 3900 points early in the day, closing up slightly on Wednesday. The index gained 0.31% to 3928.99 points.

On the stock market in Frankfurt, the Dax ended up 0.28% to 7170.94 points and the FTSE-100 rose at the close of 0.20% to 5870.14 points.

The OECD has reassured the United States and the euro area this year are expected to grow faster than expected, respectively 2.6% and 2% (against 2.2% and 1.7% previously), considers Wednesday the organization that maintains unchanged its forecast for 2012 to + 3.1% + 2%.

Concerns about the crisis of European debt have somewhat affected the odds: the morale of Germans, according to Gfk survey, should continue its degradation in June for the third straight month due to the debt crisis in euro and soaring oil prices. The index shows a decrease to 5.5 against 5.7 in MayIn addition, the Netherlands and Germany are threatening to commit the privatization of the Greek economy to foreign experts, reveals leFinancial Times. A new threat which seeks to lobby the Greek government to take drastic cost-saving measures.

United States, orders for durable goods fell more than expected in April, posting their largest decline in six months after the March increase, official statistics show on Wednesday. The U.S. Department of Commerce reported a 3.6% decline in orders in April after rising by 4.4% (revised from +4.1%) in March. Analysts polled by Reuters on average expected a decline of 2.2%.

With regard to the Icelandic volcano, France should be minimally affected, which should reassure the airline industry.

On the foreign exchange market, the euro is stable against the dollar on Wednesday.Late afternoon in Paris, the European single currency was worth 1.4110 dollars against 1.4100 dollars late Tuesday.

Airbus confident for Le Bourget

Side companies, cyclical industrial and banking resume colors. Renault (+1.65%) leads the CAC 40 in front of BNP Paribas (1.40%) and Societe Generale (1.27%).

Consumer complaints of gas and electricity rose 25% in 2010, about problems with their energy supplier.The mediator of Energy notes that complaints from customers at 43% of GDF Suez (-0.39% to 25.58 euros), 38% of those of EDF (+0.60% at 28.44 euros), 12% of Direct Energy and 4% of customers Poweo (balance to 3.91 euros).

BigBen Interactive (7.56% to 9.68 euros) jumped to the Paris Stock Exchange for its resumption of trading, after reaching an agreement to buy Modelabs, an operation that will allow him to change size and diversification, analysts note.

Airbus and its parent EADS (-1.20% to 22,30 euros) were optimistic Tuesday on future orders at the Paris Air Show in June in a market "active."

Carrefour (-0.03% to 30.28 euros) announced Wednesday the appointment of Mathilde Lemoine to the position of independent director of the group, replacing Jean-Martin Folz, who left the board for divergence of views on strategy.

The French group Alstom and its Chinese joint venture Casco signed two contracts worth a total of 85 million euros for the supply of signaling systems in metros of Shanghai (east) and Kunming (south).

The association of minority shareholders (Adam) who assigned Tuesday referred the saddle Hermes (-0.82% to 174.40 euros) to "deprive" the essential rights to vote at the next family meeting, has been confronted with an invalid procedure and the case was adjourned to July 12.Or after the meeting to be held June 30

Casino (-0.19% to 72.44 euros) denied on Tuesday it had agreed to the opening of the opening of negotiations between the Brazilian distributor GPA, which holds 35%, and Carrefour Brazil.

PPR (1.06% to 119 euros) and Volcom announced Tuesday it had received notification of the end of the statutory review period on the bid of French on the American brand.

Rexel (-0.20% to 17.70 euros) announced Tuesday it had won its bond issue of 500 million euros, whose order book has surpassed 1.8 billion euros.

Eurazeo (-0.30% to 56.07 euros) on Tuesday announced a capital increase, offering its shareholders one new share for 20 old shares held as of May 25, 2011.

The land Gecina (+0.19% at 98.70 euros), in 2nd place behind France in Unibail-Rodamco will continue to sell its assets in Spain and in the logistics industry, said Tuesday its chief executive Christophe Clamageran .

BioMerieux (+0.12% at 78.13 euros) announced Tuesday that the Health Authority (FDA) had recorded rapid testing and automated molecular diagnostic NucliSENS EasyQ MRSA screening for patients infected with resistant Staphylococcus Aureus methicillin.

Europacorp (0.71% to 4.18 euros) will publish its annual turnover, while LCD (poultry) will announce its annual results after-hours trading.

U.S. stock markets failed to bounce back Tuesday. The Dow Jones closed at a decline of 0.55% at 12,480 points and the S & P dropped 0.04% to 1329 points. Only the Nasdaq managed to get back into positive territory and ended up on 0.03% to 2783 points.

Greece and Portugal, a source of concern

The caution is this Wednesday before the outcome of the meeting of the Eurogroup, which must rule on the case of Greece and Portugal endorse aid. The sovereign debt crisis continues to produce adverse effects on both sides of the Atlantic. In Europe, the fate of Greece crystallizes all concerns. Discussions on extending the term of the loan could still affect banks in Europe and the United States and creates a strong element of uncertainty in the stock market.

Wall Street is also proven by the uncertainties surrounding the U.S. debt.The U.S. Treasury announced Monday new measures of financial emergency to allow the U.S. federal government to continue to operate while the government fails to obtain an increase in the statutory limit on public debt, which was reached on May 16

Oil down

The market is also impacted by the downturn in the energy sector, while a barrel of crude has dropped more than $ 2 Monday in New York. On Tuesday, the decline continued on the New York Mercantile Exchange (Nymex). A barrel of light sweet crude for June delivery ended at 96.91 dollars, down 46 cents from the previous day."The crude market is a follower, very responsive to the dollar and the stock market," noted Rich Ilczyszyn, Lind-Waldock.

On the foreign exchange market precisely, the euro was changing, however, rose slightly on Tuesday against the dollar at 1.4156 dollars against 1.4153 dollars late Monday.

Bad news on the front of the property

More disturbing for operators, housing starts and building permits for homes have fallen sharply in April, the oversupply in the market, particularly related to foreclosures, discouraging new projects. According to figures released by the Commerce Department, housing starts fell 10.6% on a seasonally adjusted at an annual rate of 523,000 units, against 585,000 units in March (549,000 first announced) and 568,000 units expected by the market.

Moreover, industrial production in the United States remained stable in April, said Tuesday the U.S. central bank (Fed), while analysts believed it was up 0.5% from March.

HP heavily penalized

The side of values, Hewlett-Packard (-7.31% to 36.89 dollars) on Tuesday reported a sharp reduction in its annual forecast, highlighting the impact of the earthquake in Japan and lower sales of personal computers . The annual profit forecast was lowered to "at least five dollars per share, excluding special items, after a previous forecast of between" 5.20 and 5.28 dollars. "

Wal-Mart (-0.96% to 55.52 dollars) Tuesday reported a profit and a better than expected sales in the first quarter and delivered a goal in line with expectations for current quarter.[ID: nWEA1793] Earnings per share (EPS) from continuing operations stood at $ 0.98 over the period from January to March, against 0.95 expected by analysts according to Thomson Reuters I / B / E / S. Sales rose 4.4% to 103.4 billion, against a consensus of 102.93 billion.

Boeing (-1.41% to 76.67 dollars) has won an order from the U.S. Air Force $ 963 million for the construction of 5 C-17 cargo planes.In the same sector, Lockheed Martin hopes to sell 18 fighter jets F-16 fighter in Iraq and Oman by the beginning of 2012 and record orders for 100 additional aircraft F-16 in the world of By the end of the decade.

The casino group Las Vegas MGM (1.32% to 14.54 dollars) hopes to raise $ 1.5 billion public offering in Hong Kong by introducing its China branch, MGM China, a partnership between the U.S. parent and the daughter of the tycoon game that rules over Macau, Stanley Ho, said Tuesday the Wall Street Journal. The IPO is scheduled for early June.

The ambitions of BP (0.66% to 42.74 dollars) in the Arctic have suffered a serious setback after the oil giant announced today that no solution had been found on its proposed alliance with the Russian public group Rosneft in oil exploration.The agreement on a share swap of 16 billion dollars (11.2 billion euros) expired last night and the main obstacle to its realization, namely the opposition of the Russian shareholders in BP's joint venture in Russia , TNK-BP, could be lifted in time. The British oil company said that talks with Rosneft would continue despite the expiration of this Agreement. But people close to the Russian group claimed on their side that it was going to seek "new partners".

Moreover, a prosecutor in New York has opened an investigation into dubious practices to transform mortgage securities, says Lewalle Street Journal.Officials at Bank of America (+0.34% to 11.90 dollars), Goldman Sachs (+0.13% to 140.78 dollars) or Morgan Stanley (1.38% to 24.21 dollars) must be heard in the week by Attorney Eric Schneiderman.

Also note, the battle over the takeover of the transatlantic exchange operator NYSE Euronext (-3.44% to 34.50 dollars) ended Monday with the withdrawal of the cons-hostile bid launched by Nasdaq OMX (-1 , 07% to 25.95 dollars) and IntercontinentalExchange (-1.36% to 120.56 U.S. dollars), who threw in the towel before the opposition of the competition authorities.

RenRen chose the upper range for its share price – $ 14 cons 9-11 dollars raised mid-April. The deal allows him to raise 743.4 million dollars, a value estimated at over $ 4 billion.

Created in 2005, RenRen claims 160 million users, including 31 million active monthly (cons over 600 million for Facebook). Its turnover amounted to 20.5 million in first quarter 2011, up 46% in one year, $ 2.6 million net loss.

This is yet another twist in the case Tapie – Credit Lyonnais. Nothing seemed to preclude the payment of 285 million euros to the former businessman after the tribunal's decision of 7 July 2008 that condemned the Consortium de Réalisation (CDR) for the management of liabilities Credit Lyonnais in the dispute between Bernard Tapie, Adidas business background.

But on Wednesday, an information report of the Finance Committee of the National Assembly has given fuel to the fire. The latter, which precedes the imminent publication of a report from the Court of Auditors on the subject, believes that the arbitration agreement, which included the waiver of any right of appeal, had "signed a different version" that mentioned by the Board of CDR.

At the heart of the controversy: a possible addition of the notion of "moral damage" between the first version of the document and the version eventually signed. The first version approved by the Board of CDR would have limited "the amount of all claims [the lawyers of Bernard Tapie] to 50 million euros". The compromise finally signed limit "the amount of all of their claims for moral damages of 50 million euros".

According to Jerome Cahuzac, Rapporteur and Chairman of the text of the SP Committee on Finance of the Assembly, the wording should have been falsified at the time of signing. Moreover, the failure to submit the "moral damage" to the ceiling of 50 million euros would have allowed a much higher compensation finally Bernard Tapie. These facts, if true, are likely to cancel the arbitration decision easy pay day loans.MP sees "a substantial change in conditions of the compromise in a way that will prove very supportive husband Tapie and very costly for public finances." He said the subject would be "of paramount importance for public finances since the compensation for moral damages was left to the discretion of the judge that the arbitration process is confidential (…) and that are n had not to pay taxes. "

Bernard Tapie cons-attacked on Friday. In a letter to Jerome Cahuzac, which Le Figaro has obtained a copy, he recalls that "the state so taxpayers through the Credit Lyonnais at the time nationalized bank, made a profit at its expense and an illegal manner four times what it was made. "It also accuses Jerome Cahuzac have written a "partial report" and not taking "account of exculpatory evidence in its possession." The Administrative Court had approved the use and "to arbitration even though the CL there was unfavorable" and above had validated the concept of "moral damage, for which compensation is intended primarily to cover the insufficiency of assets As part of the liquidation, by referring to the abnormal behavior of the bank in respect of spouses Tapie, accompanied by a media campaign particularly violent. " Interviewed Friday by Le Figaro, Jean-François Rocchi, president of CDR, "insane" n'entretenir tampering and ensures "no relationship with Bernard Tapie.

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Despite the best figures released by the employment center early this year, in the eyes of employees, the specter of unemployment is not moving away, says the latest "barometer of employee morale" and Logica conducted by Ipsos for "Les Echos . These are indeed four out of ten surveyed employees who think they know a period of unemployment in the coming years, six points higher than in 2005. Concern also pronounced among managers than among supervisors or employees (35%), and much stronger than the majority of respondents considered that they would be "difficult" to find work.

In fact, employees are a minority view that the economic crisis is behind them. For 70% of them, the activity of their business remains stagnant or in decline, despite economic recovery.The industry employees, who have particularly suffered from the crisis and whose numbers shrink since 2001, are the most pessimistic: 71% believe that the worst is yet to come.

Wage claims

Ironically, these fears do not deter employees to appear vindictive. Result of sacrifices made at the height of the crisis, they now expect wage counterparts. For even if the barometer shows an interest in their work remained intact (the respondents reported at 80%), lack of motivation is watching. One in two feels less motivated in the past six months creditreport. And as noted by the barometer ViaVoice done for Figaro earlier this week, the same proportion in response would see his pay rise. This is almost twice that at the end of 2009.

Positive: the employees surveyed are willing to invest more and take more risk to improve their wages. They are 75% said they could work more or take more responsibility to earn more. The proportion of employees potentially mobile progresses also very strongly, by 14 points compared to 2009.

Training and mobility in the front line

Based wage, companies remain, however timid to engage in frank increases. After a sluggish year 2010, employees should get just over 2011. Hewitt France plans and budgets overall increase of around 2.7% in 2011 from 2.6% in 2010 and 2.9% in 2009, far from 3.3% to 3.5% in applied average over the last thirty years.And further increases granted in Germany, where Volkswagen, for example, awarded 3.2% increase in salaries to its 100,000 employees.

In this context, training and outlook is a lever on which business can play. For fearful for their future careers, employees also are fond of measures to boost their employability. Yet on this point, "companies do not respond quickly enough," the authors consider the barometer.

World number one call center, the French group Teleperformance, wants to continue its growth, having achieved a turnover of 2.058 billion euros last year. According to Daniel Julien, CEO of Teleperformance Group in 2010 has strengthened its leadership over its global competitors such as American Convergys and Sitel. Our profitability is among the best. "

After a good second half, the Group generated organic growth of 1.1% in 2010. "The company will continue to grow. Our internal growth, excluding acquisitions, is expected to be between 2.5% and 5% this year, driven particularly by the U.S. and Brazil.So we will continue to grow our global workforce who went last year to 100,000 to 120,000 people for the group operates in around fifty countries, "added the confident president.

"Our big problem is France"

However, to increase its profitability in 2011, Teleperformance has to improve its results in Europe, especially France. "At 119 million euros in 2010 against 130 million the previous year, the decline in operating profit of the group was mainly due to the provision of 45 million taken for the conservation plan for employment in France, which takes into There are two main charges: the job cuts and real estate costs for the closure of eight contact centers, "said Olivier Rigaudy, CFO of Teleperformance.

Having benefited from the boom of customer relationships in telecommunications services, particularly the fixed Internet and mobile, Teleperformance has badly hit the market downturn personal loans for bad credit. In addition, medium-sized customers were lost. "Our big problem is France where the result is a deficit of 30 million euros for 2010," said the president. Because of the band's history in France, formed by merger of several companies, Teleperformance has had up to 22 contact centers. "This number was too high. It will have 14 centers by the end of the first half, "he adds.

Four unions representing a majority of employees have approved a plan to safeguard employment which will result in the reduction of 602 positions in the first half. "Our people in France will be at 5,000 employees this summer.Because of these redundancies, in addition to the 589 departures made in a voluntary plan initiated in 2009, we should reconnect with the balance operating in France in the last quarter of 2011, "said Daniel Julien.

In addition, the group seems unaffected by political unrest in the southern Mediterranean. "In North Africa, our operations have returned to normal. In Tunisia, where we have 4,700 employees, our centers have closed three days at the peak of the revolution Tunisia. In Egypt, the commitment of 1,400 employees and management has been exemplary, so we have not closed our site, unlike our competitors. Moreover, in Morocco, where we have 300 employees, we plan to significantly increase our numbers there this year, "said Daniel Julien.

Dacia emancipate gradually. The number of outlets autonomous low cost Renault brand increased gradually. "For now, we have 60 independent sites, which we call Dacia Box. Our ambition is to exceed 200 by 2013, "explains Thierry Plantegenest, director of the group's network in France in an interview with magazine autoactu.com.

Already underway, the increase in Dacia Box is a "good sign" for the brand, according to Gaetan Toulemonde, an analyst at Deutsche Bank. Low cost brand, reaching almost 5% market share in France, has gained notoriety and saw its sales climb 12% in 2010. The separation of outlets shows that "the brand started to become independent," says Gaetan Toulemonde.It is an element of strength for a brand that can overcome its parent. "

Distinct customer

By "providing a dedicated service," the Box Dacia mean that "the customer is considered to Dacia customers in their own right," said a spokesman for the group.

For Renault, it is mainly a way to separate more clearly its clientele from that of Dacia cars, which offer fewer benefits for a lower sales price of several thousand euros.

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After the boom experienced over the last two years, starting a business is showing signs of weakness. In January, the number of start-ups fell by 10.2% compared to last December, and even 24.9% self-entrepreneurs excluded. A shift already observed in the last quarter of 2010 – in December, start-ups had already fallen by 6.7% – then mostly attributed to the decline in enrollment in the plan of the entrepreneur.

The scheme, launched in early 2009, was indeed a great success and contributed significantly to the growth of entrepreneurship in the past two years. Even if its growth began to decline in late 2010, the self-entrepreneurs still account for half of births.In January, however, is the opposite trend prevailed: the creations of self-company grew over the last month, but failed to offset start-traditional businesses fell sharply.

Many companies monosalariales

These figures, however, should not be taken literally. The results from month to month are not always significant, Eric J. Heyer, Deputy Director at OFCE. "The curve is very turbulent in recent months, it is better to take an average. However, excluding the self-company, it has been stable since mid-2009, at a rather low level, "said the economist. Over twelve months the number of new businesses, including self-entrepreneurs, yet went beyond 2.9% the previous twelve months, noted INSEE.

Moreover, said Eric Heyer, a low level of start-ups is not necessarily to be deplored."It is usually inversely proportional to the economy. In a recession, the number of start-ups grew, some unemployed trying this way to create their own jobs, "said Eric Heyer. Such a phenomenon had been observed particularly during the recession of 1993. The beginnings of a decline in the number of businesses created would be rather indicative of an economic climate to be improving.

There is another reason not to rejoice too boom in start-ups observed in 2009 and 2010: "France is no shortage of small businesses monosalariales, which constitute the bulk of recent creations. It lacks somewhat companies large enough to establish itself internationally. " The challenge now will be whether these companies created over the last two years will take the brunt of longevity.

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