International & World Report

After a pause Wednesday after six consecutive sessions of gains, the CAC 40 continues on the path of decline on Thursday. The benchmark index of the Paris Stock Exchange lost 0.40% to 3617.37 points at the opening. In London, the Footsie loose 0.41% to 5231.52 points. The German Dax lost 0.35% to 6187.78 points.

European investors should follow their Asian colleagues this morning have pushed the indices into the red. The markets, which were finally confirmation of the recovery with good quarterly Alcoa and Intel, have been showered by ads from the Fed on Wednesday.

The Federal Reserve is reviewing because U.S. growth prospects downward and now expects growth of between 3% and 3.5% this year, against a range of 3.2% to 3.7% in a previous estimate . The decline in unemployment should also be slower than expected.Further support measures are also envisaged.

The markets then observe with great attention the publication of a burst of U.S. macroeconomic indicators this afternoon. Index are expected producer prices in June and the Empire State index of activity in New York. Next came the enrollment figures for weekly unemployment benefits, as well as those of industrial production and capacity utilization.

Another new arrival is somewhat reassuring to China this morning.The country has announced that the GDP growth amounted to 10.3% from April to June, a slowdown from the first quarter (+11.9%) and the last three months of 2009 (10 , 7%).

Several publications in the program

As for results announcements, trucks U.S. could also evolve global ratings: JP Morgan Chase, Google and AMD will lift the veil on their performance in the second quarter.

In Paris, many companies also publish their sales figures this Thursday. This is the case of Carrefour (second quarter), Seb (first quarter), Pierre et Vacances (second quarter), or Stallergenes (second quarter).

The bank suffered

The bad macroeconomic news weigh on the banking sector. This document draws down: BNP Paribas is the largest decline of ACC (-1.60%).The bank carries with it Societe Generale (-1.42%) and Credit Agricole (-1.10%).

The automotive industry is moving downward as well. The Association of European Automobile Manufacturers (ACEA) has announced a 6.9% decline in registrations in June to 1.34 million units sold last month. Peugeot coward 1.01% 24.12 euros while Renault fell by 0.84% to 34.78 euros. In their wake, Faurecia drops 1.73% and Michelin lost 0.35%.

Moreover, Metabolic Explorer (-1.82% to 5.40 euro) company specializing in production processes by organic industrial chemicals, announced on Thursday before market sales nil.The group reiterated its goal of placing on the market the first products of technology METEX in 2012.

Eurofin explains on its website on Thursday it recorded a strong improvement in its operating performance and profitability in the second quarter. The group will not give more detail before the publication of its results on August 30 next. Securities surged by 17.61% to 39.49 euros.

It is faster to start a business in Afghanistan and Albania in France. Seven days on average enough against nine in France. This spring the new World Bank report, "Investing Across Borders 2010 ', published today in Vienna. Completed between April and December 2009, compared to 87 countries around the laws that regulate foreign investment by retaining four criteria: the restrictions on equity investments, the time it takes to start a foreign company, access to industrial land and commercial arbitration regimes.

Latin America, including Brazil and Venezuela are conversely very slow (169 days and 179 days respectively), as well as China (99 days).If the countries of the OECD (Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development) are mostly very open to foreign ownership in their enterprises, as well as Eastern Europe and Central Asia, Asia East and the Pacific, except Singapore of course, found the greatest number of restrictions, especially in China and Indonesia, says World Bank.

The East Asia stands out even more in the area of land since, apart from Malaysia, Thailand and Singapore, no country in the region reviewed by the bank allows foreigners to own their own land This poses no problem unlike in the OECD countries or in Eastern Europe and Central Asia.

And, notes the World Bank, countries are best placed in the report are those "who also tend to attract more foreign investment in relation to the size of their economies and their people. Conversely, countries whose scores are lower tend towards higher levels of corruption, a higher political risk and governance structures are weakest.

The tax shield prevents it really the tax exile? In 2008, when the tax shield has been lowered to 50% of revenues, 821 liable to the ISF have left France, according to figures from the Ministry of the Budget that the Figaro was purchased.

In 2007 when the shield was however 60% – only 719 taxpayers had left France and EWB! Nevertheless, the flow of exiles was more important before the introduction of the shield cash advance. Thus in 2006, 846 liable to the ISF were exiled.

In addition, 312 are expatriates tax revenues in France in 2008. It's better than 2007 when they were 246.

Torn between U.S. economic indicators mixed, the CAC 40 have seen red, to stabilize at 3927.40 points, down very low, from 0.04% in trading volume expanded slightly to 3.287 billion euros.

After having opened in equilibrium, yet he dressed in green in the middle of the session, rising 0.71% to 3956 points after the publication of figures for retail sales in the United States in February. They rose 0.3% last month, while economists had expected a decline of 0.2%, due to heavy snowfall which hit the northeastern United States in recent weeks.

But in the afternoon, a decline in the index of U.S. consumer confidence in March, calculated by the University of Michigan, was disappointed and weighed on the coast, pushing the CAC 40 in red.It is the second monthly decline in the flagship index of the Bourse de Paris.

A disappointment even greater than the market, reassured by the current finalization of a possible European aid to Greece, waited impatiently the first statistically significant week for orientation. They failed to settle with the caution that has forced the CAC 40 to move all week, within narrow margins, between 3910 and 3940 points.

Values well geared motor

"We have believed, at first, that the markets greeted the indicator of retail sales in February, although it was not extraordinary, and they would go higher, but they were quickly packed said Vincent Guenzi, strategist at Cholet Dupont. Meanwhile, indicators have been revised downward in January, including retail sales, which has thrown markets."Wall Street is finally not rise sufficiently to European markets.

Elsewhere in Europe, the London Stock Exchange closed up, the FTSE-100 gained 0.15% to 5625.65 points. The Dax index of featured the Frankfurt Stock Exchange also gained 0.28% to 5945.11 points.A New York, the Dow gained just before the closure of European markets, 0.15% but the Nasdaq conceded 0.02 %.

In Paris, car values remained well oriented: Renault gained 1.89% to 33.90 euros and Peugeot 1.41% to 21.89 euros.

The title EDF yielded 1.11% to 37.86 euros, penalized by the cancellation of a contract with the United States. Lagard?re has resumed (0.49% to 26.52 euros), following the sharp drop the previous day (over 7%), caused by the announcement of gloomy outlook for 2010. Carrefour has suffered a decline in the recommendation and Credit Suisse lost 3.03% to 35.86 euros.Total yielded 0.53% to 42.70 euros.The SGC Group had indicated yesterday that it would not resume a possible strike in support of employees of the refinery at Dunkirk (North) before the trial of an action by the central works council (CEC) against its closure.

Jean-Marc Tassetto, general manager consumer marketing at SFR and as executive committee member of SFR, would be on the start, after 13 years at number two in the French mobile phone.

It is in talks with CanalSat, another subsidiary of Vivendi and Vodafone, another shareholder in SFR payday loan . Still on the front of the stage in Las Vegas in January to promote the partnership agreement with Palm, Jean-Marc Tassetto was the main architect of marketing coups of SFR.

After closing on Tuesday sharply (1.33%), CAC 40 should bind a third straight session, after Wall Street and Tokyo have also closed up. The future index is up 0.49% at 3812 points.

On the macroeconomic front, the meeting will once again quiet. Tokyo closed up driven by export values. Wall Street posted its second consecutive session of strong gains, thanks to a renewed optimism about economic outlook sparked by expectations of UPS.

But the day will be marked by a series of indicators on the service sector in Europe and the United States and the ADP survey surl'emploi the United States, giving a foretaste of showing the employment in January scheduled Friday.

Oil finished up Tuesday at 77.23 dollars a barrel.The euro continued its resurgence at 1.3971 dollars (0.06%).

Values follow

Vinci reported an increase of 4% of its backlog, which gives visibility beyond 2010 in a still uncertain economic environment. 2009 was marked by a decrease of 4.6% of its consolidated revenues to 31.9 billion euros.

EADS: The Asian demand for aircraft will be more robust than expected, according to Airbus. The manufacturer estimated that the region will need 8,000 aircraft over 100 seats on els next 20 years, 7 cons business card .627 During the previous estimate.

Maurel & Prom has announced a 2009 turnover up 99% with the start of fields and OMKO Onal in Gabon. The oil company said 2009 sales below expectations of 183.2 million euros, including 54.7 million in Q4.

NRJ Group said on Tuesday found a slight increase in advertising revenues in January, after an increase of 1.8% of its sales on a comparable basis in 2009.

Alten said he was confident in his ability to pursue recovery of its operating margin started in the second half of 2009 according to its expectations, despite talks 'complex' with its customers in a heightened competitive environment.

GL Events has announced a decline of 4% of its turnover in 2009 to 581,4 million euros, saying he had outperformed the market events, and a contract for the provision of 40 million for the World Cup footbal in South Africa.

Latecoere has seen its annual sales fall by 22.4% to 449.4 million euros in 2009, under the influence of a decrease of 30.4% in the Aerostructures, which provide more than half of total .He said anticipated a slight drop in activity in 2010, provided the low point turnaround cycle.

Forthe taxpayers with assets hidden abroad, it is too late to repent. The cell regulation introduced by the end of April Bercy for those wishing to come into line with the Inland Revenue closed Thursday at 18 hours. Reportedly, a few days before the deadline, it had treated more than 3 000 applications. On December 9, Eric Woerth, budget minister, spoke of 1 400 cases to bring back 500 million euros into state coffers. "Since the case of HSBC list started, we have achieved records, telling a lawyer a few days ago.

Still, the results obtained by the French in cell eight months paled in comparison with performance in Italy.The tax is to regulate trans 95 billion in three months! The state has recovered 5 billion of revenue, and the measure has been extended.

But in Italy, it was simply an amnesty: 5% tax on amounts settled, period. Not so in France, where the tax was due to pay (three years for income tax six years for the ISF and inheritance). The French Treasury not negotiating that penalties and interest.

20% of capital for tax

"It was interesting when he had inherited more than six years of hidden assets abroad and that you did not then fed into account. The additional tax due is three years and six IR EWB, was increased by 15% at maximum, "explains Val?rie Harnois-Mussard, a lawyer with Fidal. The taxpayer could get away with leaving 20% of its capital tax.The regulation was much more expensive if the death was within the last six years, because of inheritance. And the tax rebate did nothing fabulous for those who had actively concealed funds. Another obstacle: the documents to provide the tax authorities were numerous.

This relative lack of mercy has always been assumed by Eric Woerth, who would not hear of amnesty. But his all-out offensive against fraudsters – with, culminating in its Communication on a list held by the Treasury, 3 000 people with accounts in Switzerland – has not helped to create a serene atmosphere. Households were afraid of having to undergo inspections in fiscal 2010 and subsequent years if they showed up in the cell.Some taxpayers have hexagonal even made a more radical choice: to settle permanently in Switzerland.

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The Committee approved the December 8 and 9 "advisory for a package of proposals to strengthen regulation of capital and liquidity with the objective of strengthening the banking sector," he said in a statement.

These measures will "respond to the lessons of the crisis in the regulation, supervision and risk management of banks," said the committee.

The proposals for capital and liquidity will strengthen the banks and create a financial banking system and healthier, "said the chairman, Nout Wellink, who is also president of the Dutch Central Bank.

It is, however, that a "consultation document" and not a final text, recalled Wednesday a spokesman of the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) in Basel, including hosting meetings.

The 27 "wise men" had already announced in early July an increase of Basel II, introduced in 2004 and requiring banks with a capital ratio weighted overall risk incurred by financial institutions.

Avoiding a new "Lehman Brothers"

To avoid the disastrous consequences of a new financial crisis including the collapse of financial institutions of systemic importance, as the bankruptcy of U.S. bank Lehman Brothers in September 2008, the Basel Committee grilled for several months on a building rules governing the banking sector.

In his new proposals, the committee wants to strengthen the quality and transparency of the core capital Tier 1 (core capital of a bank), allowing institutions to better absorb potential losses.

He also wants to improve the level of capital to protect facilities including activities on derivatives and repos (repos).

Debt ratio

Banks should also establish a ratio of debt to contain their debt, financial buffers to cope with difficult situations and a minimum level of liquidity.

The impact of these measures on the sector should be analyzed in the first half of 2010 with the aim to introduce by the end of 2012.

The committee, founded in 1974 and composed of the governors of 27 central banks worldwide, "will ensure that the implementation of new standards is consistent with the financial market stability and sustainable economic growth," assured Nout Wellink.

Central bankers also want to introduce a period of tolerance and accompanying measures "for a period sufficiently long to allow a smooth transition to new standards.

Since its acquisition in October 2008, the integration of Fortis was one of the great challenges of BNP Paribas. The statement released Tuesday by the French group reported cost reductions and gains from its synergies with Fortis. It is thus subject to 900 million euros in annual synergies in 2012 (against 500 million originally anticipated) and a rate of return on invested capital above 20% from 2010. The bank confirms the same time as the acquisition of Fortis will be accretive from 2010, which promises an improvement in earnings per share and 8.5% in 2012.

"These synergies are the consideration of restructuring costs estimated at 1.3 billion euros over the 2009-2011 period," says BNP Paribas, said in the same time does not predict massive forced departures at Fortis."The downsizing comes mainly from natural wastage or voluntary," says she.

The group finally confirmed in a statement to the number one place for deposits in the euro area continued to buy banking operations of Fortis.

The Belgian banking group Fortis, fully involved in the subprime crisis, was acquired by BNP Paribas when he was on the brink of bankruptcy in October 2008, barely supported by governments. This acquisition led to months of negotiations and court battles. BNP has acquired 75% of banking and 25% of Fortis Insurance, becoming the first bank in the euro area term bank deposits.

The title BNP Paribas, built in the CAC40 index at the Paris bourse, gained 2.40% to 56.31 euros to 10.30.

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