International & World Report

The French do not really feel the first effects of the recovery. Nearly 43% of them believe the situation will not improve in the short term, against 53% more optimistic, according to an Ipsos Direct Insurance. The 18-34 years are more positive, being 60% believe in a short-term improvement of the economy.

In contrast, the 35-59 years are 49% to fear for the future economic situation. Pessimism contrasts with predictions of positive growth, the government is relying on such an increase of 1.4% of GDP in 2010. It seems that the fear of unemployment prevails in this population group. They are right: the unemployment rate, currently at 9.1% should exceed 10% according to the OECD.

A large majority (69%) French also fear a rise in prices. Again, they are too pessimistic.Economists Natixis, inflation should not exceed 1.2% in 2010, a fairly low level. INSEE table involved a decline in inflation "underlying", that is to say outside energy prices, to 0.9% in July 2010 against 1.8% in October 2009 .

Eight out of ten people expect further increases in oil prices free credit scores . Again, the French would they be worried too? INSEE expects a stable price per barrel to around $ 80 by mid-2010. But the National Institute of Statistics warns that still considerable uncertainty surrounding its estimates, the market of black gold is very volatile.

According to the Ipsos survey, these pessimistic expectations should lead the French champions of saving, save more. Nearly 65% of respondents believe that the crisis will encourage them to save even more.On this point, they agree with the experts. The INSEE estimates that savings will remain at a high level (16.6%) in the first half of 2010, having broken records in 2009.

Latest cares, but not least, the French: the future of pensions. They are 90% believed that "concern about changes in the level of pensions in the years to come is a sense justified. Negotiations on the future of the pension system, initiated by the government this year, will soon fix the issue.

After closing on Tuesday sharply (1.33%), CAC 40 should bind a third straight session, after Wall Street and Tokyo have also closed up. The future index is up 0.49% at 3812 points.

On the macroeconomic front, the meeting will once again quiet. Tokyo closed up driven by export values. Wall Street posted its second consecutive session of strong gains, thanks to a renewed optimism about economic outlook sparked by expectations of UPS.

But the day will be marked by a series of indicators on the service sector in Europe and the United States and the ADP survey surl'emploi the United States, giving a foretaste of showing the employment in January scheduled Friday.

Oil finished up Tuesday at 77.23 dollars a barrel.The euro continued its resurgence at 1.3971 dollars (0.06%).

Values follow

Vinci reported an increase of 4% of its backlog, which gives visibility beyond 2010 in a still uncertain economic environment. 2009 was marked by a decrease of 4.6% of its consolidated revenues to 31.9 billion euros.

EADS: The Asian demand for aircraft will be more robust than expected, according to Airbus. The manufacturer estimated that the region will need 8,000 aircraft over 100 seats on els next 20 years, 7 cons business card .627 During the previous estimate.

Maurel & Prom has announced a 2009 turnover up 99% with the start of fields and OMKO Onal in Gabon. The oil company said 2009 sales below expectations of 183.2 million euros, including 54.7 million in Q4.

NRJ Group said on Tuesday found a slight increase in advertising revenues in January, after an increase of 1.8% of its sales on a comparable basis in 2009.

Alten said he was confident in his ability to pursue recovery of its operating margin started in the second half of 2009 according to its expectations, despite talks 'complex' with its customers in a heightened competitive environment.

GL Events has announced a decline of 4% of its turnover in 2009 to 581,4 million euros, saying he had outperformed the market events, and a contract for the provision of 40 million for the World Cup footbal in South Africa.

Latecoere has seen its annual sales fall by 22.4% to 449.4 million euros in 2009, under the influence of a decrease of 30.4% in the Aerostructures, which provide more than half of total .He said anticipated a slight drop in activity in 2010, provided the low point turnaround cycle.

In addition, the situation in France deteriorated since 2008, when she pointed again at 160 th place. It must be said that 20 countries have lowered their corporate tax this year. "France has made efforts, including the tax-credit research. But this device, for some SMEs, is not included in the study. And in the future, reform of business tax should have a positive effect 'grade Philippe Durand, a lawyer at Landwell (the law firm of PWC).

The tax burden is not the only criterion taken into account

Above all, the tax burden is not the only criterion taken into account in the study. A rightly so because the number one country for low taxes is East Timor, little known for its overall competitiveness.To measure the overall tax appeal, the study also includes the time spent by businesses to report and pay their taxes and the number of payments. But on these two points, France is ranked (40th in the first case, the 9th in the second). She even won ranks.

This is the result of political modernization efforts for several years with the proliferation of TV-declarations via the Internet and creating a single direction at Bercy managing the assessment and collection of taxes (the General Directorate of Public Finance) . Through this effort, France back in the overall attractiveness of the tax from the 66 th place in 2008 to 59th place in 2009.

The PC market is expected to avoid breakage. According to research firm Gartner, PC sales should grow 2.8% this year to 289.9 million units, including 162 million laptops, and 29 million netbooks (or Netbooks). Until now, the firm had already revised upwards its forecast, but each time it expected a contraction in sales. In September, he estimated that they would shrink by 2% over the year, when they had risen from 10.9% in 2008. "Sales in the third quarter was much stronger than expected," so that "we should have a positive growth this year, said analyst George Shiffler, quoted in the press.

For the full year, the increase will be paid to arm's length by notebook PCs, with sales expected to grow by 15.4%. These desktop computers will however fall 9%.The release of Windows 7, the latest operating system from Microsoft, will have limited impact on the sales season, says the firm.

But it was really in 2010 that the market will reconnect with a double-digit growth. Sales should rise and 336.6 million PCs in total, an increase of 12.6 compared to 2009. Again, the laptops will carve the most beautiful piece of the pie, with sales approaching 200 million units.

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