International & World Report

The week ended as it began in the Paris Bourse: down sharply. The index yielded 2.25% at 3123.55 points Friday and 6.53% for the week. London yielded 0.33% and 2.72% Frankfurt. The last five trading days have been eventful. Markets had initially plunged after the surprise announcement of the referendum in Greece. On Tuesday, the CAC 0 was 5.38% in currency a record for a holiday close to 5 billion euros. Optimism returned Thursday afternoon after the Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou raised the possibility to withdraw the draft and for the surprise decision of the European Central Bank lowered its key rate.

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Navigate troubled markets, a fierce industrial competition and the need to "respect its property interests." The State shareholder is, once again, the experience of a difficult environment – under the sharp eye of Jean-Dominique Comolli, Commissioner of State Holdings, appointed in September 2010. The annual report of the Agency for State holdings (EPA) provides an overview of contrasts.

In terms of numbers, the net result of 57 companies (660 billion euros in total assets combined) in which the state is now stood at 7.9 billion euros in 2010, "a slight increase over that observed in 2009 "(7.4 billion), the report of the EPA.

Under the fiscal 2010, the State should receive 4.4 billion euros in dividends in 2011, "which is the level of dividends received in 2010."The rate of distribution to the State recorded a moderate decline from 59.5% in 2010 to 55.7% in 2011. However, it remains higher than for large companies in the CAC 40.

In a context of bearish markets, the portfolio of listed state accounted for 69 billion market capitalization at September 1, 2011 (as against 88 billion at September 1, 2010)."The value of the portfolio is highly concentrated EPA under the EDF, which fell by 35.17% over the period," says the document.

The evolution of the portfolio reflects in fact "a wide variety of situations" from positive performance in aeronautics / defense to significant reductions of "cyclical" (motor transport) or the financial sector.

A government that is perfect

Governance side, the state shareholder wants to be perfect, either in terms of earnings, mix, or territory. Thus, the overall percentage of women board is 15% in companies where the state is a shareholder. This rate rises to 20% for its own representatives.The state ownership "ensure that executive compensation is directly linked to their performance," says he, too.

The State shall last to the industrial development strategy of companies in which it operates. In 2010, Nicolas Sarkozy had called for a competent administrator in industrial systematically accompanies the representative of the EPA in the boards of industrial enterprises. It's done.

And since last year, the owners of the companies concerned are not a "regular" with the Minister of Economy. The main objective is to promote the activity in France.The results of the investigation Bercy last two years are quite encouraging: investment on French territory increased by 7.3% between 2009 and 2010 – even though they are very different industries – and jobs back less and less each year.

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The wait before the EU summit on Sunday, this should be the watchword on the stock exchanges on Thursday. European financial markets are in effect suspended the decisions that should be taken after the EU summit to be held this Sunday. Folds U.S. and Asian indices, however, should weigh on the trend.

Politicians of the old continent have already promised that a solution to the crisis would be found. "Monday morning he will have the markets, the United States, China and the IMF are convinced that Europe has a plan, a European official placed loose in the heart of the discussion. If there is no agreement, each European country will be reduced to playing individual survival. "

Meanwhile, last minute negotiations are increasing.Nicolas Sarkozy visited emergency yesterday in Frankfurt to resolve differences between France and Germany directly with Angela Merkel. No information was available for this meeting. The Wall Street Journal, the discussions would focus on the possibility of allowing the EFSF to provide collateral to support bonds issued by countries in need rather than use it to provide direct guarantees.

Chapter macroeconomic, Germany will provide the Government's economic forecasts. Across the Atlantic, the weekly claims for unemployment benefits will be published 16 hours and the resales of September and the composite indicator of economic activity.Activity in the Philadelphia area in October will be known 16 hours.

New burst of publications

As for values, the Dexia should respond to green light by the French Senate on the guarantees provided by the French state in the process of dismantling the Franco-Belgian bank. Legislators have asked, however, a principle of banking counterparties.

Pernod Ricard achieved a turnover up 6% to almost two billion euros in the first quarter of fiscal year 2011-2012, according to a statement released Thursday.

Schneider Electric has lowered its forecast its operating margin from 2011 to 14% after posting a turnover up 4.6% to 5.7 billion euros in the third quarter.

Publicis announced that he fears a slowdown in activity at the end of the year, following growth of 7.5% of sales in the third quarter, but still think recording "above market growth" over the entire the exercise.

The manufacturer of smart cards Gemalto, the world, published Thursday in the third quarter sales of 491 million euros, stable over a year and affected by the poor performance of mobile telephony.

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The French continue to create companies. "We should reach 500,000 this year, including 300,000 creations autoentrepreneur. This reflects a certain optimism about tough economic times, "says Alain Belais, Executive Director of the Agency for start-ups (PACE). According to INSEE, 364,891 new businesses were created between January and late August. Creation of two is a autoentreprise. In Paris, 22,053 new companies were registered.

New entrepreneurs are both men and women in their fifties forced to find new life as young people tempted by the low wage labor. According to a poll Ifop for CCI Undertake 52% of those under age 25 are eager to start their company. According to PACE, 78,000 under 30 years embarked on this adventure in 2008, including 30,000 under 25 years despite the difficulties.65% of those who do not start bank lending. More than one in two with less than 8000 euros. The change is dramatic since 2001, when France only records slightly more than 200,000 creations.

However, the figures for the first eight months of this year were down 10% over the same period last year. The balance will be down in 2011 compared to 2010 which was a historic year with 622,000 creations, thanks to the tremendous popularity of the regime of autoentrepreneur introduced on 1 January 2009. The autoentrepreneur accounted for 58% of new artists last year.

But the French are less likely to be tempted. The number of new autoentrepreneur slowed since the beginning of the year. "The slowdown is quite natural. This system has reached its cruising speed after exceptional growth.Autoentrepreneur those who remain and those who choose this diet have taken the measure of their commitments. They are here to stay, "says Alain Belais.

The French discovered the limitations of this status. It provides a second activity and to test an idea. There are limits annual sales: 81,500 euros in trade, 32,600 euros in services. Anxious to appease the artisans who denounce their unfair competition, the government imposed new obligations on autoentrepreneur.

Since 1 January 2011, they pay a certain sum for vocational training. They must report their sales even if they do not conduct business. Of the 738,351 autoentrepreneur reported, only 277,000 were active in the second quarter. They achieved a turnover of one billion.287,600 were active in the first quarter and achieved 963 million in sales. In 2010, 383,000 active autoentrepreneur reported a turnover of 3.2 billion. Is an annual average of 8310 euros per person. In 2009, 162,100 were made to have one billion in sales. Is 6294 euros per person. The success of the autoentrepreneur has not dampened the appetite of the French for the self-employed status. According to figures published by the end of September ACOSS, 621,000 people have chosen this status since 1 January 2009.

Finding the right financing

This enthusiasm for starting a business due to the numerous reforms for several years to simplify administration. Networks that accompany the new entrepreneurs to help them build a case or grow their businesses also play a key role.Chambers of commerce are very active. Initiate the network relies on the expertise of volunteer business leaders. France Active 6700 projects funded in 2010.

Their strength is to help designers to obtain bank financing they would have had a hard time get to know only because solid build file. The unemployed are not forgotten. Adie, who is the leader of microcredit in France, has launched a fund for unsecured loans for troubled youth. Lafarge, the Deposit, Laser and other finance it. But the French passion for business has its limits. Most creations are no employees. In 2010, this proportion reached 95%. And the companies that launched at least one employee had an average of three employees.It is true that running a very small business or microenterprises employing fewer than 10 employees making more than 2 million euros in turnover remains a risky venture for a simple reason: their leaders have difficulty finding bank financing .

Protect its heritage

Separate personal and professional is possible.

Artisans, merchants, professionals can take from 1 January the status of individual entrepreneur Limited (EIRL). This scheme allows the contractor to protect his family by separating his business assets known as "assets used" and their personal assets. Specifically, the entrepreneur chooses the new status does not lose his personal assets in bankruptcy. It does not take risks on the part of his property invested in the company.Despite the very favorable reception of professional organizations, starting the EIRL is slow. Only 3500 individual entrepreneurs had adopted July 31. The legal and tax developments that have been made should make it more attractive.

The supplementary budget in July 2011 provides tax neutrality. Individual entrepreneurs who choose EIRL are free to opt for taxation of corporate income tax. Those who choose this option do not pay payroll taxes on their actual earnings. For their part, banks have pledged not to limit the credit they give to people who choose EIRL status and do not require additional guarantees.

Shortly before the opening of U.S. stock markets, index futures and Standard & Poors'500 evolved Nasdaq 100, respectively 0.07% to 1186.50 points and – 0.53% to 2205 points, suggesting a hesitant start of the session.

The day before, the index featuring New York has sold more than 1%, as the S & P, while the Nasdaq limited its losses – 0.78%. Investors signaled their disappointment and after the speech of the President of the Federal Reserve (Fed), Ben Bernanke. He did, in fact, made no indication as to potential nudges the Monetary Policy Committee of the U.S. central bank might decide to implement after the meeting scheduled for September 20 and 21.The banking sector fell sharply on Thursday on Wall Street, precisely because of this lack of detail.

The dollar has him down after another long-awaited announcement yesterday, but came after the close: the stimulus of employment. Announced Thursday by U.S. President Barack Obama, it reached 447 billion against $ 300 billion anticipated by the markets. Its effect on Wall Street, however, could be mixed, most investors expecting the Republicans in Congress, then block its adoption.

Market analysts estimate IG still that "the optimists seem to want to return to the market," leaving hope of eventually positive impact on Obama's plan investor sentiment. The question is whether this will play starting this weekend or delayed. Meanwhile, European stock markets were on the downside.Bank stocks were particularly exacerbated their losses after the remarks of Christine Lagarde, Executive Director of the IMF, stressed the urgent need for additional capital banks.Investors also follow closely the discussions of the G7 Finance, met for two days in Europe in Marseille.

Another item, from China, could also help to soothe, on both sides of the Atlantic: Inflation has indeed slowed in China in August, which removes the fear that Beijing tighten monetary policy payday loans direct lenders.

This Friday, Wall Street, the macroeconomic agenda will be relatively light, only a first estimate of consumer confidence from the University of Michigan for the month of September is indeed expected.

Threats to jobs at Bank of America

On the corporate side, no major publication was in sight Friday.

The job cuts planned by the management of Bank of America (BofA) as part of its restructuring plan could affect 40,000 people, said Friday the Wall Street Journal Online, citing sources familiar with the matter. The group identified on 30 June nearly 288,000 employees. So far, estimates of job losses were around 30,000, while many banks worldwide have announced significant staff reductions. These reductions would occur as part of an extensive research program savings called "Project LAC", the acronym by which exchanged the title of the institution to the New York Stock Exchange.

Texas Instruments, however, could respond after a warning issued Thursday night on its third quarter results, citing a decline in demand for semiconductors. IT had already warned in July that the current quarter would be modest.The group emphasized that this time the request had deteriorated to "a wide range of products, markets." The manufacturer of components that go particularly in the manufacture of mobile phones and automotive electronics, said now anticipate earnings per share between 56 cents and 60 against a previous range stretching from 55 to 65 cents.

Finally, according to The New York Times on Thursday, U.S. regulators are close to agreement with the mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, about their role in the crisis of 2008.

The Tokyo Stock Exchange plays yo-yo since the beginning of the week. After losing more than 1% Wednesday, the Tokyo Stock Exchange shows a sharp rebound of 2.18% to 8828.38 points. Investors reacted positively to the new fence up Wall Street but also the weakening of the yen that benefits Japanese exporters. Thursday morning, the dollar advanced in effect from 0.13% to 77.06 yen while the euro gained 0.05% to 110.99 yen.The Japanese Minister of Finance, candidate for prime minister, announced Wednesday a package of measures to counter the effects of the outbreak of the Japanese currency.

As a result, car manufacturers progressed significantly: Toyota climbed from 2.46% to 2785 yen, Mitsubishi rose 2.8% to 1761 yen and Honda advanced 5.9% to 2456 yen.

Oil prices rise

Other Asian financial centers also evolved significantly in the green, including the Chinese stock exchanges: the Hong Kong Hang Seng gained 1.55% to 19,767.60 points and the CSI 300 took 2.42% to 2878.01 points.Otherwise, the Kospi Index was up 0.86% to 1769.84 points, the S & P / ASX 200 in Sydney gained 0.88% to 4204.40 points and the FTSE Straits Times rose 1.21% in 2752, 77 points.

Oil prices were up Thursday morning during electronic trading in Asia, in a market sensitive to the situation in Libya and cautious speech eagerly awaited the head of the U.S. central bank (Fed). In morning trading, a barrel of "light sweet crude" for delivery in October has appreciated by 14 cents to 85.30 dollars per barrel of Brent North Sea crude for October delivery took 21 cents to 110.36 dollars .

"I listened to France Info radio Saturday when I heard the note of the deterioration in the U.S. by Standard and Poor's. Though I have expected, I was very worried. Not for the United States, but I wondered what would happen Monday at the opening of the markets. I spent the day listening to the radio gamberger. It was great for me because all day the journalists spoke only financial, AAA rating, the rating agencies. We rarely talked about as much my passion in the media! Joking aside, I was worried. Sunday, I surfed all the sites info from my iPhone, that's how I learned that the ECB was planning to buy securities in Italy and Spain. I was reassured, but I waited for the opening of markets with anxiety. "

"So it's the end of the world?"

"Monday morning, arrive at work before the markets open.My colleagues and I, we laugh yellow, you wonder "when is the end of the world?". The morning went well thanks to the announcements of the ECB, I breathed a sigh of relief. I expected that the stock market tumbles and climbs, but it rises very little. But when it was revealed that the ECB did not buy that much of Italian and Spanish titles, bang, everything collapsed. There is nothing worse than a disappointed hope. To make matters worse, a spokesman for the German government said that the European emergency (EFSF) should "stay as it is" (the face of calls, including French, to increase its staffing to fight against debt crisis , Ed). In the world of finance, it was a joke: As soon as the stock market decline we say "ah, a German leader has spoken." Well there was quite that.Monday night, the ACC finished the session on a further drop of 4.68%. "

"The worst days of my week is definitely Tuesday and Wednesday. There, I was really afraid, I hung my head payday loans. We were stunned to face the noise of the gravity of the situation of Societe Generale. As the bank had already had to deal with the case Jérome Kerviel (the trader who lost nearly 5 billion euros in the bank in 2008, ie), the rumor might have seemed credible. This story disgusts me. When I think that some have started this rumor to sell shares short and buying 20% ​​less than two days later, it puts me out of me. Because I know that those who suffer, it is the small savers. Tuesday night, the ACC shows a gain of 1.63%. Nevertheless, I am not alone.However, since the 2008 crisis, I learned to better my personal life separate from my work, I do sleep more as I have done in the sub-prime crisis. I slept like a log, exhausted. "

"I'm not going to shoot myself"

"Wednesday, the markets are sealed by rumors of degradation of the note of the French debt. I'm not surprised. My personal analysis is that the deterioration of the U.S. debt will have negative consequences on the note of the French debt. The CAC closed down 5.45%. I try to relax at home in the evening. I will not shoot myself in the foot every time things go wrong. "

"Thursday and Friday, the stock market has regained color. On Thursday, the CAC closed on an increase of 2.89% and 4.02% Friday. I'm not confident either. I do not know how long we're going to balance.I spend Friday night to read newspaper articles, think about how markets will open Monday. I started to install fiber optics to my house, I will continue to tweak this weekend. To be able to surf the web faster to read the financial information. Gamberger for what will happen to the market opening on Monday. "

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"Nuclear power is one reason for the choice of France, not a choice of passion," said Eric Besson justified this Friday morning on Europe 1 radio. Recalling that the energy brought to France an "energy independence" and that it limited the emissions of greenhouse gases, the Minister of Industry, Energy and the Digital Economy has reported that "the certainty absolute "that electricity prices would be higher for the French consumer without nuclear.

The minister, however, announced that a "great foresight exercise", called "Energy 2050" was launched on Friday, "few hours". "We will study all possible scenarios (…) the energy mix for years to come."

No cases will be avoided, he said, "including so-called scenarios of nuclear power," even if "no belief" or "the choice of the Government and the President of the Republic." "To say 'out nuclear power', it means nothing, he said. What is interesting is to know where it is replaced, what consequences for the dependency [energy], how much it costs to businesses and consumers and with what consequences for greenhouse gas emissions. "

The program, which provides an "analysis of energy demand in France and the world" and "all sources of production" will be led by "the services of Bercy, with a number of experts and personalities independent, "the minister said without giving further details no fax cash advances.

Fessenheim: no suspension or moratorium

Eric Besson has also confirmed that the Fessenheim nuclear power plant in Alsace will not be subject to suspension of its business, or a moratorium. "The Nuclear Safety Authority, which is totally independent of political power, EDF has given permission to stay in business for ten years subject to a number of works. So Fessenheim continue its business, "he added.

But he added that "Fessenheim be subject, like all French nuclear power plants in Fukushima post-audit," an audit requested by the government to learn from the nuclear disaster that occurred in Japan in March. "The nuclear safety authority may make other decisions," he said.

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Busy schedule these days. The successor to Dominique Strauss-Kahn to head the International Monetary Fund could indeed be announced this Tuesday – Christine Lagarde is the favorite -. But it is Greece that all eyes remain fixed, while growing and sy strikes may last until the vote of the austerity plan by the Greek Parliament which must take place by Thursday. However, it seems, according to analysts, the markets are betting on good news. While the euro area would, as a precaution, already developed a backup in case of a negative vote.

In the wake of Wall Street Monday closed sharply higher, the Paris Stock Exchange has expanded its gains yesterday, Tuesday, in the morning, but irregularly.After winning up to 1%, the Cac 40ne accounted for more than 0.77% in late morning, above the 3825 points, and 0.55% in mid-session at 3817.47 points.

On the currency markets, the euro declined slightly against the greenback mid-term, to 1.4275 dollar.

As for oil prices, a barrel of "light sweet crude" for delivery in August gained 0.29% to 90.87 even dollars in mid-session.

Housing: housing starts and building permits up

On the macroeconomic front, the number of starts of new homes increased by 11.4,% year on year in France for the period from March to May, while the number of building permits for these homes has increased 4.3%, according to figures from the Ministry of Housing.

At 18 hours, will be published the figures for registered job seekers and offers collected by the job center in May.

In the U.S., the S & P / Case-Shiller of home prices in April (15 hours) and consumer confidence in June (16 hours) are also expected.

Carrefour jumps, Casino unscrews Accor (3.01% to 29.44 euros) held in mid-session the head of the CAC40, while Alstom (-1.43% to 41.08 euros) was last in the index star. Alstom, which takes 14 hours to its General Assembly on Tuesday.Against a background of optimism about the outcome of the parliamentary debate on the budget austerity in Greece, the banking sector performs well: Crédit Agricole climbed 2.50% to 9.87 euros, Societe Generale is 1.54% to 38.25 euros, BNP Paribas rose 1.10% to 50.71 euros and Natixis gained 1.04% to 3.29 euros.

EADS: + 0.09% to 22.07 euros

China could control dozens of Airbus during a visit of Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao Tuesday in Berlin, said on Monday sources familiar with the matter.

Carrefour: + 2.16% to 27.02 euros; Casino: -5.10% to 62.54 euros

The distribution group received Monday a "proposal" to create Gama Brazilian joint venture equally owned by both groups in Brazil, the latter to eventually become a shareholder of Carrefour.Casino intends to disturb their alliance, saying the project "hostile", prepared in secret, but against which "has the power to oppose."

In addition, the rating agency Fitch has downgraded the French retailer Carrefour up a notch to BBB +, along with a negative outlook, expressing concern the pace of recovery activities and French pressure from shareholders , said in a statement Tuesday.

Thales: -0.41% to 28.27 euros

According to an internal study cited by the Tribune, the electronics group shows a drastic decrease of 13% of customer satisfaction since the arrival of the new direction.Some regret the centralization of applications and other lack of attention to their concerns.

Lagardère: + 0.92% to 28 euros

Analysts at the Swiss bank UBS raised their recommendation on the title to "buy" against "neutral" before.

Trigano: -4.08% to 22.10 euros

The specialist for caravans and motorhomes has said it expects a sales growth and results in 2011, following growth of 8.2% of its business in the third quarter, which covers the period from March to May

Teleperformance: -6.84% to 19.41 euros

The global call center cut its operating margin target in 2011 because of the recent slowdown in its business in the United States.

BioAlliance Pharma: + 1.83% to 6.12 euros

The biotechnology company said it had filed with the French Drug Agency an application for leave to Phase III clinical trial for Livatag, treatment of primary liver cancer.

CGG Veritas: + 0.06% to 23.2 euros

The group signed with the oil services group Bourbon marine services to offshore oil and gas a charter contract for five years to six new vessels support and assistance to its seismic surveys.

Even stronger in Asia on Monday morning, investors reacted badly to the new rescue plan for Greece: the Paris Bourse, a technical problem prevents the scoring but when the problem is solved, the CAC is expected to fall sharply and move under the 3800 points, which had not happened since March 18. "Some technical problems occurred during the pre-opening, the markets could not open on time and are working to resolve this issue as soon as possible," said NYSE Euronext exchange group at the time of Opening assumed the Paris Bourse, at 9 am.

Despite a new rescue plan for Greece launched last night by finance ministers in Europe, markets remain worried and disappointed "investors continue to seek a quick fix that is not the working time of European political authorities.The difficulties in finding compromises will continue to maintain the highest concern, "warns one at CM-CIC.

After the reassuring words of French and German leaders who have displayed a welcome unity Friday, the firm tone adopted by the ministers said that the issue will be very long to resolve. The central bankers in the eurozone have defined the conditions of payment of a further tranche of loans in July, but the finance ministers of the euro area indicate that the release of the loan must be accompanied by the vote of a new plan of austerity and privatization by the Greek Parliament. Banks and other private creditors and participate in this new plan. However the contours of that plan remains to be defined.

In Milan, the stock market fall of over 2% after the warning from the rating agency Moody's on Friday night.The agency said Friday it planned to lower the debt rating of Italy, currently set at "Aa2." The agency said the risks to growth, financial markets and the government's ability to reduce the deficit. Featuring Dax index of the Frankfurt Stock Exchange opened sharply down Monday from 1.20% to 7078.59 points against 7164.05 at the close Friday. The London Stock Exchange it retrograde from 0.87% to 5665.24 points.

On the currency side, the euro weakened against the dollar: 7:45 to Monday morning, the euro lost 0 instant personal loans guaranteed.57% to 1.4225 points, showing that the meeting euroépenne last night did not convince the markets. In addition, oil continues to fall sharply, quoting under $ 92 in New York.

Opening of the Paris Air Show

All eyes will be mostly shot on the Paris Air Show, which opens Monday.Bad news for Airbus (parent company: EADS) last night, an incident of a private Airbus A380 giant aircraft flight, the aircraft had struck the wing of a building while being towed on taxiway of the airport. Boeing, he launches the new version of its popular 747 jetliner, highly anticipated.

In addition, the CEO of EADS, Louis Welsh, said the sale of 22.5% stake held by French and German states could be done without exposing the group to a hostile takeover, note leFinancial Times. Louis Welsh evokes an existing structure "extremely hard" for the development of the company.

Sanofi-Aventis. An investigation into a corruption case involving employees of the pharmaceutical group in Germany was opened, said Sunday a spokesman for prosecutors in Verden."Sanofi confirms that there is an ongoing investigation and that he will cooperate with the authorities related to this investigation," said his side a spokesman for the group.

PSA Peugeot Citroën. The mayor of Aulnay-sous-Bois (Seine-Saint-Denis), Gerard Segura, announced Friday it had requested an appointment at Industry Minister Eric Besson for clarification on the future site of PSA Peugeot Citroën.

Areva / EDF. According to reports in The Tribune, Nicolas Sarkozy has warned a week ago the CEO of EDF Proglio the departure of Anne Lauvergeon.He finds himself in a strong position.

The French group Publicis has bought Chinese Genedigi, specializing in public relations, events and digital marketing, with about 400 employees, for an undisclosed amount, he said Monday.

"CONTEST: Estimate the Cac 40 in late June

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