Archive for the ‘opinions’ Category

11
Jul

The industry rebounded sharply in May

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Unexpected rebound of the French industrial production in May. While economists had forecast a 0.5% increase in average industrial growth reached 2% over the month, according to figures released by INSEE on Monday. The only manufacturing industry, that is, outside of energy production, rose 1.5%. Germany, the first client of French industry, recorded a similar rebound in May (1.2%).

The increase is explained by a return to normal imports of parts produced in Japan, interrupted after the earthquake. "The disruption of production caused by the disaster Japanese, which affected production in March and April, were apparently stronger is believed," Dominique Barbet analysis, economist at BNP Paribas.

The car saw its production increase by 2.5%

All sectors are displayed in green in the month of MayThe production of electronic and computer equipment rose 2 online pay day loans.3%, the textile industry of 1.3% and rubber and plastics 2.2%. The car, itself, saw its production to rebound by 2.5%. In this context, chemistry and medicine show more modest increases of 0.3% and 0.5% in May Only agricultural and food industries suffer a decline of 0.2% of their business.

From March to May, manufacturing output increased by 0.9%. Compared to the same period last year, manufacturing output rose 4.8%, INSEE said. Despite these positive figures, French growth to slow in the coming months, according to the Bank of France. The institution has revised down its outlook, relying now on an increase of 0.2% of GDP for the second quarter (April to June).

06
Jul

Boulanger is a leap forward with Saturn

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Saturn must be profitable in three years: it is the objective that its new owner, HTM Group, has set. The holding of the family group Mulliez (Paragraph, Kiabi, etc.). Boulanger strengthens its brand with 35 stores in French Media Saturn, a subsidiary of the German Metro, which she bought on June 30 for an undisclosed price.

"Saturn knew generate traffic in its stores with low prices and promotions, but never developed Internet business and has never managed to be profitable," especially in front of supermarkets are on the same niche (26 % market share), explains Layous Bernard, director of purchasing and marketing Boulanger.

"With Saturn, Boulanger changes category. Faced with global suppliers, we will have greater purchasing power and we will be known to the public, "he says.The distributor of multimedia products and services and appliances improves its national coverage with this acquisition, which "saves 3 to 4 years of expansion." Even if Baker is, first, giving up open the store on the outskirts of Saturn provided Avignon and on the other hand, give five other outlets of the brand (Toulon, Le Havre, Mulhouse, Aubergenville , Angers), and a shop in Tours Boulanger to respect the opinion of the Competition Authority on the merger.

No project abroad

The integration of the stores kept Saturn, which carry a turnover of 500 million euros, will allow Boulanger (97 stores) to reach the 2 billion mark in sales in a French market the electrical appliance 22 billion euros, according to Gfk.

"The market has been growing steadily for twenty years, with the exception of 2009," says Francis cord, CEO of HTM Group. Since the beginning of the year, but the activity is again down, 1.2%, except for sales professionals on the Internet, such as Darty and Fnac. These are already doing about 10% of their sales through this channel, twice as Boulanger, who made his priority. Points boulanger.com withdrawals and will appear in the old Saturn, because a client of two picks the order.More reason to want to see HTM Group "soon" its goal of 150 stores Boulanger on the rise, with major cities and especially Paris-line of sight. International expansion, produced by its competitors, remains a dream, "but before going abroad, one must be strong in our home market," said Francis cord. Confident, it provides a higher turnover of Boulanger 3% over the year, at constant perimeter.

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24
Jun

Airbus to another command history

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At Paris Air Show, Airbus steals record after record. While the European aircraft manufacturer has been a landmark order yesterday from the Indian carrier IndiGo, involving 180 Airbus A320 150 A320neo, a subsidiary of EADS could do better on Thursday. During the fourth day of the Paris Air Show, Boeing expected to announce the largest order in the history of civil aviation in the number of devices with 200 A320neo from Air Asia.

In addition, American Airlines is about to acquire from Airbus over 100 single-aisle A320 series, according to Bloomberg. The price of the order could amount to about $ 8.5 billion at list prices. These devices replace less efficient airplanes like the Boeing 757 and MD-80.This command would be a setback for Boeing since the company is usually the client U.S. aircraft manufacturer, Airbus' main competitor.

After its intention to buy A320neo, the airline GoAir Indian low cost has signed a firm order this morning for 72 medium-haul of its kind.

Since the beginning of the show, the success of the A320neo is undeniable: it should pass the milestone of 1000, just seven months after its commercial launch. Subsidiary of EADS has already exceeded its targets since was 500 A320 orders by the end of Bourget.

Other models also reap Airbus orders this Thursday

The A380 also encounter expressions of interest. Skymark Airlines has confirmed Thursday morning ordering two A380s.The amount of this additional order would reach at list price, $ 750 million.

In addition, Airbus hopes to get "a significant portion" of the large order that would formalize Air France-KLM this summer, said Thursday Fabrice Brégier, Chief Operating Officer of the European aircraft manufacturer. The French company could opt for the A350 model. "We believe that the A350 has advantages over the Boeing 787. For us to make to Air France-KLM, "commented the manager.

For now, the official death toll is over 700 orders and options, including 347 firm orders for Airbus in three days. The total amount of these orders, at list prices, at more than $ 65 billion.Boeing is so far below as the U.S. garnered 126 orders and options, including 61 farms, pour19 billion.

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22
Jun

GPS Galileo finally on track

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After years of uncertainty, Galileo, the European satellite navigation, has reached a milestone Wednesday with the signing at Paris Air Show, the last two industrial contracts awarded to Thales Alenia Space (281 million) and EADS-Astrium (73.5 million) for the realization of the "ground segment" of the device. Namely, a network of 21 stations to receive and rebroadcast the signal transmitted by satellites, distributed on the surface of the globe as well as two control centers based in Italy and Germany, "Now it remains to put satellites into orbit and build ground facilities.Galileo becomes a reality, "welcomed Jean-Jacques Dordain, the Director General of the European Space Agency that provides project management of this mammoth project on behalf of the European Union.

The first two satellites to be launched on October 20 at 24:00 (French time) from the Kourou space center, a Russian Soyuz rocket that will be the first launch from French Guiana. Another dual launch is scheduled for first half of 2012. Once the first four satellites positioned 20,000 km above the in-orbit validation phase (IOV), which is essential to test the operational capabilities of the system will begin.The signal they transmit back to Earth will allow users equipped with a suitable receiver to determine their position in real time, with an accuracy of one meter.

But to ensure comprehensive coverage of the territory, with this level of performance, both in cities (where buildings cause interference) in mountainous areas, Galileo must be supported, ultimately, a fleet of 30 satellites .

"At the rate of a dual launch every six months, we hope to place 24 satellites into orbit by the end of 2014," said Wednesday the European Commissioner for Industry, Antonio Tajani. A level at which Galileo will begin to be operational. The remaining six satellites will be purchased now through the "500 million euros of savings" on the project budget, said Mr. Tajani.Specifically, "the European Commission will request 1.4 billion instead of $ 1.9 billion for the next financial perspective (2014-2018)". An amount that will add 3.4 billion to the current fiscal year (2009-2013).

A market of 90 billion euros

This "good news" is undoubtedly to reassure policy makers on economic and technical and financial viability of a project that has accumulated delays since the launch of the first test satellite Giove-A in December 2005. In addition, it is clear that Galileo will be operational more quickly, more quickly in the European economy will reap the benefits.

The market for satellite navigation, today mainly occupied by the American GPS, is estimated at 90 billion euros for the period 2010-2030.

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14
Jun

An influential economist predicted the explosion of the Eurozone

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While the rating agency Standard & Poor's downgraded three notches note of Greece who becomes the country with the lowest rated in the world, the eminent economist Nouriel Roubini sees the end of the eurozone. In an article published in the Financial Times, the man who announced the financial crisis of 2008 estimated that countries of the European periphery abandon the euro within five years.

In the eyes of Nouriel Roubini, the debt crisis that weakens current euro area highlights the flaws in this monetary union. In fact, the euro zone has never been an "optimum currency area", ie a group of countries has any interest in sharing a single currency. There is indeed always been too strong and competitive economic differences between countries in the euro area.The founding fathers of the euro area, however, hoped that the differences between fiscal, monetary and exchange rates are offset by an acceleration of structural reforms within the euro zone countries. These measures would then have enabled the countries of the eurozone converge.

Without economic convergence, the euro area is doomed to failure

But "the reality is quite different," says Nouriel Roubini. Following the establishment of a common monetary policy, countries are folded on the weapon budget to adjust their economic policies. Very different policies have been implemented within the eurozone. Consequently, the lack of fiscal discipline in countries like Greece and Portugal involved in the birth of speculative bubbles in other countries like Spain or Ireland. And finally, the peripheral countries have become less competitive.

Economist reaffirms that to work, creating a currency area must be accompanied by a fiscal policy even as the establishment of supranational sources of income or the issuance of sovereign bonds Commons. In the absence of economic convergence, the euro area is doomed to failure, according to the economist.

Thus, Nouriel Roubini believes that there is now a way to restore the competitiveness of peripheral countries: leaving the euro, return of national currencies and depreciation. Such a scenario seems inconceivable today, is the economist who said that nothing says that in five years this idea has not gained ground, especially if the economies of peripheral countries are stagnating. Unless the idea of ​​a Euro reaches more federal drilling, some European leaders call for that greater European integration.

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11
Jun

GDF Suez focuses on microcredit

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After several months of development, GDF Suez has now officially launched its website for the 218,000 employees of the group, to enable them to support the development of micro-enterprises scattered around the world. While the week of microcredit is nearing completion, this unique initiative could give a fillip to microfinance solidarity.

Specifically, the site presents a selection of projects to be financed in a variety of countries (currently Peru, Lebanon, Senegal, Tajikistan, Cambodia pending, the Philippines and Madagascar). On the basis of information given to them, employees may choose to assist a particular activity: the purchase of pigs, creation of woolen hats, launching a candy … The proposed assistance takes the form of a 0% interest loan of EUR 20 minimum, payable in 6 to 18 months.The money is paid directly online (via credit card or Paypal account) and the loan is secured by local microfinance institutions. After retrieving their application, lenders are obviously free to reinvest or not the amounts paid on other projects. The site is open to employees and everyone who would be invited by employees.

The project has been fully assembled by MicroWorld, a subsidiary of PlaNet Finance, an NGO founded by Jacques Attali in 1998. Until now GDF Suez already funding specific programs through PlaNet Finance (Microfinance & Energy in Morocco and Egypt "Business in Suburbs in France). With this initiative, "Suez regains its banking business," joked Jacques Attali before noting: "Today's world is not socially sustainable.To reduce this gap, democracy is the first medium and the second is to give people the means to achieve ". Knowing that many of them will create their own jobs, he said that credit is a key lever for growth of these enrepreneurs. Even should you avoid some pitfalls: microcredit must learn to go along with ecology to be truly sustainable and must avoid certain abuses observed in India in particular or some companies claiming solidarity finance is much closer to practices of loan sharks.

GDF Suez side, if the group has funded the launch of this initiative and promises of matching shapes subsidized loans, it also recognizes the benefits expected from this operation. Firstly in terms of internal cohesion.The website encourages the creation of virtual communities and circles that can strengthen the bonds within a group and engage the best young troops. And then of course there is the group's image. CEO Gerard Mestrallet has also not stood in the preamble to introduce the launch of the new advertising group whose slogan is "Be good to men" and his view that illustrates the positioning of the company.

10
Jun

Nice bounce to the Paris Bourse

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Until this afternoon, prudence and tensions were on the agenda of this meeting at the Paris Bourse. But at the opening of Wall Street, where the indices have moved into the green after six consecutive sessions of decline, the CAC 40 rebounded to finish sharply higher on Thursday from 1.06% to 3878.65 points . The figure on foreign trade in the U.S., better than expected, reassured investors cooled by a series of bad numbers in the U.S. and the Fed has not proved reassuring about the economic recovery of the first power of world.The Beige Book from the U.S. central bank (Fed), published during the session on Wall Street has reinforced the comments made by chilling the day before Ben Bernanke: "Economic activity continued to grow in general, but a small number of regions have expressed some slowing. "

Remains in the United States, the situation remains worrying in that the U.S. government can not reach agreement on a possible increase in the debt ceiling from the federal government, which must yet be approved before August 2 . After S & P and Moody's, Fitch has in turn launched an alert on U.S. debt, threatening the country's triple-A.

Elsewhere in Europe, the trend is good too.The London Stock Exchange finished up 0.82% to 5856.34 points and the DAX index of the Frankfurt Stock Exchange was up 1.41% to 7159.66 points.

Consumption expenditure of households leave

In France, payroll employment has increased its recovery in the first quarter and the balance of agency has eased, according to Insee. The sectors mainly merchants have created a total of 58,200 jobs after 48,300 over the last three months of 2010, an increase of 0.4% against 0.3% on the previous quarter.

Consumption expenditure of households is distributed last year (+1.3% in real terms after only 0.1% a year earlier in a crisis).This has contributed to two thirds of the growth of the French economy in the year of recovery after the global recession of 2009.

Inflation, measured by changes in consumer prices, rose 1.8% between late 2009 and late 2010, year on year, double the previous year.

In the U.S., new jobless claims were virtually unchanged, said Thursday the Labor Department, which identified the filing of 427,000 benefit claims in the country from 29 May to 4 June, while analysts expected 423,000 new registrations.

The euro and oil up

On the currency side, around 17:30, the single European currency fell back and was worth 1.4516 dollars against 1.4575 dollars late Wednesday.

Side oil prices are trending upward, failing agreement within OPEC to increase crude production.On the New York Mercantile Exchange (Nymex), a barrel of light sweet crude for July delivery traded at 101.61 dollars, up 87 cents from the previous day.

LVMH would prepare a "supply shock" Hermes

Hermes: 2.21% to 191.95 euros, LVMH: 0.65% to 116.90 euros

Rumors times by the British newspaper Daily Mail, LVMH would prepare an offer of 350 euros per share Hermes, which holds 20.21% stake, a premium of almost 100%.

Peugeot SA: +2.42% to 28.41 euros

The automaker PSA Peugeot Citroen plans to close its site of Aulnay-sous-Bois (Seine-Saint-Denis) "Current 2014" and that of Sevelnord (North) in 2013, threatening 6,200 jobs, according to an internal document of the group presented to the press Thursday by the CGT.

Club Med: + 5.11% to 16.13 euros

The group announced on Thursday a profit of 10 million euros in the first half, against 3 million in the first half of 2010. The indicator of profitability of the villages of the French group jumped 67% to 47 million euros.

Remy Cointreau: + 0.11% to 56.56 euros

The group reported a net profit 2011en 2010-down more than 18%, to 107.5 million euros, 109 million lower than expected by the market.

Ipsen: -3.24% to 25.83 euros

The band announced an increased specialization and investment under its new strategy.He envisions one-time charges of 80 to 100 million euros before taxes in 2011 and 2012, related to the implementation of this strategy will require the closure of Research & Development in Barcelona.

Air France-KLM: -0.79% to 10.71 euros

The airline announced Wednesday an increase in passenger traffic in May, albeit at a slower pace than in April, which had benefited from favorable comparison bases.

Aeroports de Paris: + 0.95% to 64.91 euros

ADP announced Wednesday it had entered into exclusive negotiations with the operator of airport services 3S Group to cede a majority stake in its ground handling activities.

EADS: + 1.72% to 21.57 euros

The largest private airline in India, Jet Airways, will be ordered ten Airbus A330 aircraft, said its chairman Naresh Goyal quoted Thursday in the daily The Economic Times.

Schneider Electric: + 3.07% to 114.10 euros

The French electrical equipment manufacturer announced Thursday the acquisition of the Chinese Leader & Harvest Power Technologies Holdings, which specializes in variable speed drives, based on a valuation of 450 million euros (including debt).

EDF: + 1% at 27.33 euros

EDF could be tested by the weather this summer. RTE, the French electricity network operator, today the government's scenario for the summer.Dry weather and heat wave could cause the system to its limits.

Sopra: + 1.08% to 85.51 euros

The shareholders gave the green light Wednesday to the proposed demerger and listing of Axway Software, the software division of group counseling and services.

Next recommendation, Suez Environment (2.11% to 14.28 euros, the biggest increase ACC) is supported by JPMorgan, while Havas (1.49% to 3.54 euros) is supported by an increase of Kepler's opinion to buy, cons ease.

Saint Gobain, Bolloré and Ruby hold their general meeting today.

"QUIZ Estimate the Cac 40 in late June

06
Jun

Ask your questions for Bruno Le Maire

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"Towards a drought worse" than in 1976 "

"Drought: Farmers will be compensated

Bruno Mayor dismisses the idea of ​​a tax drought

03
Jun

The bad blood between Obama and Congress

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Since mid-May, the United States exploded the ceiling set by Congress of American debt, around 15,000 billion dollars currently. This ceiling has been found in January. It would suffice to go back again to exit the United States from embarrassment: the country can theoretically borrow on the markets when the threshold is exceeded. Which is to say that the U.S. is in a situation of default.

But the maneuvers have pushed until August 2, the bankruptcy of the federal state. The White House and Congress have so until that date to agree. The first press the other to raise the ceiling, but he refuses to press the button until the government has not detailed a program foresaw and specific reductions in public spending. The United States shackle in effect three years of deficit exceeding 10%.It should reach around 1.6 trillion dollars this year.

If the financial world does not doubt the ability of great leaders of the first world power to agree, for the good of the global economy, the timetable is narrowing. And rating agencies do not fail to recall. Thus, after Standard & Poor's in April, Moody's puts a sudden extra pressure on Thursday by threatening to put the debt rating of long-term United States, currently at AAA, on negative watch, implying an actual deterioration in the coming months.

No to raising the ceiling

Yesterday, Wednesday, Barack Obama received dozens of Republican representatives in the White House. These, a majority in their meeting, refused to give the green light to an increase in the federal debt ceiling because of cuts in spending."We need to tackle this debt," said out of the meeting the head of the budget committee in the House, Paul Ryan, author of a draft budget with drastic cuts in funding for the welfare state and criticized by Democratic allies of Barack Obama.

Tuesday night, the House rejected by 318 votes against 97 an increase of 2,400 billion of debt ceiling, a move described as "irresponsible" Democratic side.

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01
Jun

Lagardere takes control of its subsidiary dedicated to sport

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Arnaud Lagardere is now the sole master on board of a subsidiary of sports rights and live shows, Lagardère Unlimited. Discreetly and after two years of wrestling with his bodyguards, the head of the Lagardère group has decided to dispose of Olivier and Stéphane Schindler Guiguet, numbers one and two sports. Two evictions, revealed by the website of the Nouvel Observateur and La Tribune, which is concomitant to that of Christophe Bouchet, the CEO of Sportfive sports rights agency and principal subsidiary of Lagardère Unlimited.

In 2006, Arnaud Lagardere has the intuition of the potential market for sports rights. He also knows that this activity requires a critical mass consistent. To quickly position, he must hit fast and hard. He does not hesitate to put on the table 865 million euros to acquire Sportfive, a leading market players.

In the process, it will expand this activity with the arrival in the lap of the group of players such as IEC in 2007 and World Sports Group in 2008, followed by the acquisition last year's Best (Blue Entertainment Sports Television) American expert in the representation of athletes and the purchase of 30% stake in the American academy of sports training Saddlebrook. Two operations to "several tens of millions of euros," he admits. Arnaud Lagardere, it is clear that the market for sport and entertainment is its future. "Sport is a market of 100 billion dollars", he still recalled when publishing the final results of the group.

Trading at European level

Aware after the time of acquisition is that of consolidation, it equips its assets in May 2010 of a new structure called the Unlimited, which succeeds Lagardère Sports.She becomes the equal of other major subsidiaries of the media and he becomes the president instead of his lieutenants.

But this tutorial is not enough to take off the activity. In 2010, its sales collapsed by 23% to 396 million and its losses amounted to 96 million euros. In defense of Arnaud Lagardere, new players with deep pockets is coming to the market beginning with the Gulf countries. In addition, the European Commission is considering changing the rules of trading rights to be bought at the European level rather than nationally. What sharpening a little more competition. For the entourage of Arnaud Lagardere, it is clear that to succeed we must therefore focus its resources on a few key disciplines such as football. The head of the Lagardère group has not given up "to be the world's number one sport in five years."