International & World Report

The caution is this Wednesday on the Asian stock markets. At the close, the Nikkei in Tokyo assigns 0.92% to 8463.16 points. The decline is more pronounced in China, Hong Kong, the Hang Seng 2.21% to 18,920.55 loose points while the Shanghai Composite Index lost 1.93% to 2481.06 points. The Kospi in Seoul was also down 1.06% to 1866.06 points and the S & P / ASX 200 in Sydney from 0.89% to 4247.40 points.

The debt crisis in the euro area still focus the concerns of the international markets. Yesterday, the rates at which borrow Italy and Spain have reached dangerous levels. In the process, the major European markets ended down.

The BoJ kept its policy rate

The Central Bank of Japan (BoJ) kept its key interest rate Wednesday on a daily basis in the range of 0.0 to 0.1%.Investors are, in addition, the surge in profits after the previous day, which saw such a barrel of light crude earn $ 1.23.

Caution should again dominate this Tuesday at the Paris Bourse. The CAC 40 yields 0.69% in early trade at 3090.53 points. Like their counterparts on Wall Street and Asia, investors will again examine the risk of contagion of the crisis of sovereign debt in the eurozone. The sharp rise in bond yields Spanish and Italian supply fears. Spanish borrowing rate to 10 years have in fact exceeded the critical threshold of 6% yesterday, what had not been seen since early August. Italy has in turn launched a debt issuance where rates were also above 6% for securities maturing five years.

This morning, the spread between government securities, french and German, that reference in the euro area, has reached a new record since the inception of the euro with an increase of 8 basis points (bps ) to 173 bps.

In Italy, Prime Minister Mario Monti called for a short time to market his team to form and implement a program, which will contain "sacrifices cash advance." For its part, the new Prime Minister of Greece, Lucas Papademos, assured that the implementation of decisions taken at the top of the euro area on October 27 would be the "main task" of the new government, preventing the Greeks from one period difficult. He has said the country's public deficit in 2011 will be reduced "at around 9%" of GDP.

This morning, the euro continued its decline against the greenback. The single currency is dollar 1.3583 (-0.29%) in morning trading. The small increase in oil is: a barrel of "light sweet crude" for December delivery gained 8 cents to 98.22 dollars a barrel while Brent North Sea crude for December delivery took 44 cents to 112.33 dollars .

This will be the event of Dubai Airshow, which opens Sunday for four days. Quest Helicopter, a subsidiary of Quest émiratien Invest funds, must disclose this Saturday a draft civil helicopter. The machine whose code-named "Project Q" will be developed from a Ukrainian technology and also mobilize resources and émiratienne British engineering. It will be assembled in the United Arab Emirates (UAE). And ensure its promoters, it will meet the certification standards European émiratiens and Ukrainian. Quest Helicopter promises commissioning end of 2013.

"Project Q" is the first program launched by the UAE aviation, and more generally by an Arab country. For many exhibitors Western the 2011 Dubai Airshow marks the transition to a "new era" in the region.This agreement has resulted in the creation of Strata, a parts plant in composite fuselage, the first of its kind in the Gulf, al-Ain, the second largest city in the emirate cash till payday. Airbus Strata book for a year and contributes to the manufacturing of the future long-haul A 350 XWB.

A key market

Mubadala made its partner EADS to build "an aviation hub" – he also started a maintenance activity – but not exclusive. Other agreements have been signed with Boeing and Finmeccanica via the Austrian FACC, subcontractor joint U.S. and Italian groups.

"EADS accompanies the movement of industrialization that develops at the option of off-sets (note: local counterparts) negotiated as part of commercial contracts," says one in the group. Airbus, like Boeing, must agree on a cost-effective industrial return in the country.

The week ended as it began in the Paris Bourse: down sharply. The index yielded 2.25% at 3123.55 points Friday and 6.53% for the week. London yielded 0.33% and 2.72% Frankfurt. The last five trading days have been eventful. Markets had initially plunged after the surprise announcement of the referendum in Greece. On Tuesday, the CAC 0 was 5.38% in currency a record for a holiday close to 5 billion euros. Optimism returned Thursday afternoon after the Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou raised the possibility to withdraw the draft and for the surprise decision of the European Central Bank lowered its key rate.

The Paris Bourse was found to beautiful colors yesterday. The CAC 40 gained 2.83% to 3171.34 points, in a little volume of trade expanded by about 3.3 billion euros. The day before, he had lost 2.32% and the five days he gave up xx%. Elsewhere in Europe yesterday, Frankfurt gained 3.55% and 1.93% London.

Moderated somewhat in early trading, the Paris market has accelerated the pace in the afternoon, reassured by the good performance of Wall Street. In session the Dow advanced 1.77% and the Nasdaq 1.49%. To observers, the shift is mainly due to the information that has filtered through the preparations for the EU summit scheduled between Sunday and Wednesday. Finance ministers of 17 countries of the monetary union have found themselves in the afternoon on Thursday in Brussels to finalize this key event for the euro area.Paris and Berlin have already announced that Nicolas Sarkozy and Angela Merkel would meet Saturday in Brussels to prepare an "ambitious and comprehensive response" to the crisis. Concrete measures should then be unveiled during a second summit to be held "no later than Wednesday."

The bad news relegated to planIl will then not only to agree on how to increase the capacity of the European Financial Stability Fund (EFSF), but also to review the new rescue plan for Greece.

Hope for quick and concrete progress on the thorny issue of sovereign debt in the euro zone was overshadow the bad news of the day. After Moody's, Standard & Poor's raised doubts about the triple-A long-term debt of France, where strong economic downturn.In the same case scenario, the agency also mentions a possible degradation of the notes from Spain, Italy, Ireland and Portugal according to economic conditions.

Weekly balance sheet negative for banks

Bank stocks, regaining ground as we approach the Summit of Heads of States in Brussels. BNP Paribas was up 6.22%, 5.59% Societe Generale and Credit Agricole of 3.93%. On the week, however, accuse the banks of heavy losses. Over the whole week but it heavy losses. In five days, Societe Generale lost 8.95%, 6.82% Credit Agricole and BNP Paribas 1.46% guaranteed pay day loans.Unlike some of the best performance on the CAC 40 weeks, there is Pernod Ricard (3.76%) and Danone (3%) who announced results considered of good quality, in the last days.

• Essilor (+3% to 52.48 euros)

The world leader in ophthalmic lenses achieved a growth of 6.4% of its sales in the third quarter 2011 to 1.04 billion euros. The group also confirmed its target for 2011 growth of its business "between 6% and 8%" at constant exchange rates and strategic acquisitions, and its goal of stability margin excluding strategic acquisitions.

• Safran (-8% to 22.20 euros)

The group confirmed its targets for 2011. It aims for 2011 growth of around 6% to 9% of its revenues and 25 to 30% of its operating income.Safran has seen its turnover increase from 5.2% to 2.72 billion euros in third quarter

• Valeo (6.63% to 35.85 euros)

The group reported a turnover up 14% in the third quarter to 2.6 billion euros and confirmed its operating margin target for 2011.

• Klépierre (4.01% to 22.28 euros)

The group reported a growth of 4.9% of its sales in the third quarter, supported by the increase in rents shopping centers.

• FranceTelecom (2.58% to 12.94 euros)

Orange will acquire 100% of the mobile operator CTC (China Telecom Congo) in the Democratic Republic of Congo, the French group paying $ 10 million (7.3 million) to ZTE for its 51% of CTC and 7 million dollars to the Congolese government for the balance.

• Pierre et Vacances (0.59% to 29 euros)

The group reported Thursday a 2010-2011 annual turnover of 1.47 billion euros, up 11.2% on a comparable basis. Solely on the fourth quarter of fiscal year, ended Sept. 30.

• Etam Développement (2.81% to 14.25 euros)

The group released Thursday a quarterly revenue of 269.4 million euros, down 10.7% on a comparable constant exchange rates.

• OL Group (-0.68% to 4.40 euros)

The group announced Thursday it had reduced its net loss to EUR 28 million for the year ended June 30, against 35.6 million a year ago and have returned to a positive EBITDA (8 , 9 million) "despite a very mixed season in sport."

It was an open secret. The six countries of the euro area currently receiving a rating of "AAA" (Germany, Austria, Finland, France, Luxembourg and the Netherlands), everyone knew that the Hexagon was the most fragile. And for two main reasons, as the visible one and the other as the nose on your face.

First is the only country of the "club of six" not to balance its accounts public, when we ignore the burden of debt (annual interest payments to our creditors). France continues to display a "primary deficit" in the words properly. This shows that the remediation work is far from complete.Note, for example, that Italy is now in a situation of "primary surplus", even though the peninsula remains weighed down by debt levels far higher ransom of a history of fiscal mismanagement even older than ours.

Second handicap, and distinguishes us from the other five members of the club "triple A" France is the only one to record a deficit of its external accounts. The imbalance between our imports and our exports attests an alarming lack of competitiveness. Clearly, if the French economy was not part of a monetary union, it would now interest to devalue its currency. She would even be forced by the markets.

But that Paris could lose its valuable in the future "triple A" and it would be first across the euro area which would be weakened. Including Germany. Across the Rhine, there is concern especially as a contagion effect.Professor Hans-Werner Sinn, president of the Ifo economic institute, also highly critical of the current functioning of the euro area, just bring a vivid demonstration quick pay day loan.

A model to redefine

In a recent study ("The Ten Commandments to save the euro"), he notes that the cost of insurance on the ten-year Bunds has increased tenfold since the crisis of the euro, to 1.2%. The fault lies, he says, to become burdens on Germany, the main funder of the rescue plans for its partners in the Euroland. This bill gets heavier a little more if France was itself degraded. The warning from Moody's recovery even more debate on French economic policy. Designating Paris as the weak link of the "triple A" rating agency highlights the twin deficits, internal and external, which is our brand.And these two imbalances, the most distressing is certainly the failure of "Made in France" to find its place under the sun of the euro.

Compared to its neighbors "triple A" – true "mark area" within the monetary union – France stands out on another point. Never in modern history since the First World War, it has succeeded in establishing a social contract where competitiveness is central. Such as the famous Wassenaar agreement of 1982 in the Netherlands, to exit the eternal Germanic model, in fact that of all Northern Europe. Rather than attempt to "re-enchant the French dream", which has ceased to be missing the point, here is the challenge.

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The French continue to create companies. "We should reach 500,000 this year, including 300,000 creations autoentrepreneur. This reflects a certain optimism about tough economic times, "says Alain Belais, Executive Director of the Agency for start-ups (PACE). According to INSEE, 364,891 new businesses were created between January and late August. Creation of two is a autoentreprise. In Paris, 22,053 new companies were registered.

New entrepreneurs are both men and women in their fifties forced to find new life as young people tempted by the low wage labor. According to a poll Ifop for CCI Undertake 52% of those under age 25 are eager to start their company. According to PACE, 78,000 under 30 years embarked on this adventure in 2008, including 30,000 under 25 years despite the difficulties.65% of those who do not start bank lending. More than one in two with less than 8000 euros. The change is dramatic since 2001, when France only records slightly more than 200,000 creations.

However, the figures for the first eight months of this year were down 10% over the same period last year. The balance will be down in 2011 compared to 2010 which was a historic year with 622,000 creations, thanks to the tremendous popularity of the regime of autoentrepreneur introduced on 1 January 2009. The autoentrepreneur accounted for 58% of new artists last year.

But the French are less likely to be tempted. The number of new autoentrepreneur slowed since the beginning of the year. "The slowdown is quite natural. This system has reached its cruising speed after exceptional growth.Autoentrepreneur those who remain and those who choose this diet have taken the measure of their commitments. They are here to stay, "says Alain Belais.

The French discovered the limitations of this status. It provides a second activity and to test an idea. There are limits annual sales: 81,500 euros in trade, 32,600 euros in services. Anxious to appease the artisans who denounce their unfair competition, the government imposed new obligations on autoentrepreneur.

Since 1 January 2011, they pay a certain sum for vocational training. They must report their sales even if they do not conduct business. Of the 738,351 autoentrepreneur reported, only 277,000 were active in the second quarter. They achieved a turnover of one billion.287,600 were active in the first quarter and achieved 963 million in sales. In 2010, 383,000 active autoentrepreneur reported a turnover of 3.2 billion. Is an annual average of 8310 euros per person. In 2009, 162,100 were made to have one billion in sales. Is 6294 euros per person. The success of the autoentrepreneur has not dampened the appetite of the French for the self-employed status. According to figures published by the end of September ACOSS, 621,000 people have chosen this status since 1 January 2009.

Finding the right financing

This enthusiasm for starting a business due to the numerous reforms for several years to simplify administration. Networks that accompany the new entrepreneurs to help them build a case or grow their businesses also play a key role.Chambers of commerce are very active. Initiate the network relies on the expertise of volunteer business leaders. France Active 6700 projects funded in 2010.

Their strength is to help designers to obtain bank financing they would have had a hard time get to know only because solid build file. The unemployed are not forgotten. Adie, who is the leader of microcredit in France, has launched a fund for unsecured loans for troubled youth. Lafarge, the Deposit, Laser and other finance it. But the French passion for business has its limits. Most creations are no employees. In 2010, this proportion reached 95%. And the companies that launched at least one employee had an average of three employees.It is true that running a very small business or microenterprises employing fewer than 10 employees making more than 2 million euros in turnover remains a risky venture for a simple reason: their leaders have difficulty finding bank financing .

Protect its heritage

Separate personal and professional is possible.

Artisans, merchants, professionals can take from 1 January the status of individual entrepreneur Limited (EIRL). This scheme allows the contractor to protect his family by separating his business assets known as "assets used" and their personal assets. Specifically, the entrepreneur chooses the new status does not lose his personal assets in bankruptcy. It does not take risks on the part of his property invested in the company.Despite the very favorable reception of professional organizations, starting the EIRL is slow. Only 3500 individual entrepreneurs had adopted July 31. The legal and tax developments that have been made should make it more attractive.

The supplementary budget in July 2011 provides tax neutrality. Individual entrepreneurs who choose EIRL are free to opt for taxation of corporate income tax. Those who choose this option do not pay payroll taxes on their actual earnings. For their part, banks have pledged not to limit the credit they give to people who choose EIRL status and do not require additional guarantees.

The NYSE has been won by a renewed optimism on Monday. After opening up, in a market reassured by the pledges of trust made by Germany and France in connection with the recapitalization of banks in the euro area, Wall Street has accelerated the pace in mid-session. The Dow ends up sharply from 2.97% to 11,433.18 points and the Nasdaq 3.5% to 2566.05 points. The New York Stock Exchange finished down Friday evening after lowering the rating agency Fitch notes from Spain and Italy.

The U.S. stock markets remained open on Monday, public holiday in the United States (Columbus Day, which commemorates the discovery of America by Christopher Columbus).Only the bond markets were closed.

The willingness of the Franco-German recapitalize banks and out of the spiral of debt crisis, however, as in Europe, supported investor sentiment. Tonight, President américainBarack Obama supported "the strategy of Nicolas Sarkozy and Angela Merkel. The latter, meeting in Berlin on Sunday pledged to respond "lasting and comprehensive peace" to the crisis in the euro area for the G20 summit in Cannes, 3 and 4 November. Proposals must be made but no details were supplied. "You will see the end of an entire fully functional," promised the Chancellor. The fate of Greece is suspended from his verdict of the Troika, reminded the two leaders.

About the difficulties the European banking sector, the two leaders said they were "determined to do whatever it takes to ensure the recapitalization of our banks." The French president also assured that the agreement between the two countries on how and where the process was considered "complete", denying the reports of differences over the use of EFSF to provide the necessary funds. Again, the "details" will be specified later, they promised, while the EU summit scheduled for October 17 and 18 was postponed to October 23 to allow more time for officers to prepare a response "global" .

Note also in Europe, the Board of Directors of Dexia has validated the night from Sunday to Monday the takeover of its Belgian subsidiary by the Belgian government for a $ 4 billion.The Franco-Belgian bank, the first victim of the debt crisis in the euro area, is found then dismantled and nationalized the Belgian branch.

Opening of the ball results

United States, the season of quarterly results of large companies to begin this week. As usual, the aluminum giant Alcoa will kick off these publications. Follow in particular, PepsiCo Wednesday, Thursday, JPMorgan Chase and internet group Google and finally, Friday, Mattel. Analysts bet on an average increase of 13% earnings per share for the third quarter. "The forecast for the quarter just ended are very conservative.So there's a good chance that companies do at least as well as the consensus ", say experts Cantor Fitzgerald.

On the macroeconomic front there was no major indicator on the agenda of U.S. investors on Monday. In the coming days, they expect including the minutes of the last meeting of the Federal Reserve (Tuesday) and retail sales (Friday). Specialists Aurel BGC, household spending should be slightly more dynamic in September. The slowdown in inflation for the effect should have increased the purchasing power of households.The latest U.S. statistics have also been rather better than expected, which has banished the specter of a return to recession in the United States and contributed to the rebound on Wall Street last week.

New clean cuts at Goldman Sachs

The side of values, the bank received the good news on the progress in Europe: KBW Bank Index jumped 5.31%. JPMorgan Chase gained 5.21% to 32.30 dollars and Bank of America 6.44% to 6.27 dollars.

The Sunday Telegraph, the investment bank Goldman Sachs (3.71% to 96.13 dollars) could make additional cuts.

Apple (5.14% to 388.81 dollars) announced that it has registered one million pre-orders for its iPhone 4S in one day

Netflix (-4.83% to 111.55 dollars) has given up its business organization DVD rental website in a new and renamed Qwikster said Monday that the industry would remain on the same site as that of video streaming services.

Sara Lee (1.58% to 16.71 dollars) announced Monday it will sell its bakery brands in Portugal and Spain as well as seven production sites in Mexico Grupo Bimbo to 115 million euros in cash

For its part, the world's number one supermarket chain Wal-Mart (2.07% to 54.81 dollars) announced that 12 brands of the brand were closed in Chongqing in China for 15 days, following a fraudulent labeling .

At the same rumors about Yahoo! (2.39% to 15.84 dollars) to continue. After the assumption of a takeover by Microsoft or by the Chinese partner of Motor internet, according to Reuters Jerry Yang, co-founder of the company could partner with a private equity investment to buy the company.

European stock markets resumed a little height on Wednesday morning, after the statements of Olli Rehn. In Paris the CAC 40 1.34% advance to 2888.30 points after climbing more than 2.5% in early trade.

Elsewhere in Europe, ahead of London and Frankfurt 1.43% from 1.47%. European Commissioner for Economic Affairs has indeed mentioned in an interview with the Financial Times, a European plan to recapitalize banks. Reassuring news while the Franco-Belgian bank Dexia, the first victim of the debt crisis must be dismantled."We share a growing opinion that we need a concerted, coordinated in Europe," he said, "the capital of European banks should be strengthened to give them a safety margin and so reduce uncertainty "in markets.

Wall Street has offered a nice rebound late in the session after the publication of these declarations, against a background of technical rebound. Europe follows the trend, despite the announcement of the degradation of the Italian note by Moody's.

In terms of macroeconomic indicators, two figures for the euro area will be published on Wednesday: the retail trade for August and the second estimate of GDP in the second quarter.In the U.S., the ISM index of activity in services is expected in September to 16 hours and the weekly crude oil inventories at 16:30.

Oil markets, fell sharply Tuesday after the courses are starting to rebound on Wednesday morning in Asian electronic trading: the Brent North Sea crude for November delivery gained 1.67 dollars to 101.46 dollars. A barrel of "light sweet crude" for delivery in November was appreciating his side of 1.91 dollars to 77.58 dollars.

The banking sector up

Following statements by Olli Rehn, the banking sector will be particularly followed on Wednesday. In particular, Dexia remains a key concern when it was dismantled has been approved. The Franco-Belgian bank has confirmed the creation of a "bad bank" combining its risk assets.The European Banking Authority (EBA) also discuss the situation of the bank on Wednesday.

Investors engaged in an intense hunt for bargains in the banking sector. BNP Paribas advance of 6.20%, 5.38% of Societe Generale and Credit Agricole of 6.34%, despite the deterioration of recommendation from Goldman Sachs on the sector payday loan companies.

Indeed, Brock U.S. on Tuesday lowered its price targets of several French banks: it is reduced from 68 to 58 euros to BNP Paribas for 9.70 euros to 6.90 euros and Credit Agricole 3.60 to 2.80 for Natixis. Societe Generale is seen removed from the list of réfence European bank, which reduces its recommendation on the title of "buy" from "neutral."The price target is reduced from 45 to 32 euros.

The values ​​of energy and insurance markets in the eye

The energy sector will also be monitored: the CGT federation of energy called because the employees of the gas and electricity in a strike on October 11 as part of a national day of mobilization under five French unions .

Axa (2.39% to 9.20 euros) indicated that the depressed stock market could affect its objectives in 2015 but ensures that its balance sheet remains strong at the end of September.The insurer says remain "fully engaged" in achieving its objectives and it reiterates its policy of dividend distribution

In addition, U.S. funds TPG and KKR and the Caisse de depot et placement du Quebec have submitted preliminary offers for the acquisition of Axa Privaty Equity (AXA PE), the division of equity sold by Axa, according to La Tribune.

The reinsurer Scor (0.93% to 15.78 euros) also confirmed the financial goals of its strategic plan by 2013, especially a return on equity of 10% above the risk-free rate and credit rating Level "AA".Scor still expects a gross premium volume amounted to over EUR 10 billion in 2013, an annual growth rate of 14% between 2010 and 2013 as against 9% previously.

Gecina (-3.05% to 61.05 euros) announced thanking its general manager, Christophe Clamageran, because of differences over priorities in the implementation of the strategy of the real estate group. Bernard Michel, Chairman, is CEO of the company.

Wendel (4.48% to 45.05 euros) said Tuesday it has completed the acquisition of Mecatherm, the global leader in equipment for the bakery industry valued at around 170 million euros as part of the operation.

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The atmosphere is dull on the Bourse de Paris. The CAC 40 was down over 3% to 2694 points, after plunging 5.25% on Thursday. Over the whole week and he gave up 9.3% since the beginning of the year almost 28%. Mobilization and call for unity of the G20 held yesterday evening in Washington fail to reassure the markets. Friday morning, Asian stock markets were still sharply lower.

Elsewhere in Europe, the Dax in Frankfurt Stock Exchange lost 1.10% and the FTSE in London yields 0.50%.

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