The debt crisis in the euro area still focus the concerns of the international markets. Yesterday, the rates at which borrow Italy and Spain have reached dangerous levels. In the process, the major European markets ended down.

The BoJ kept its policy rate

The Central Bank of Japan (BoJ) kept its key interest rate Wednesday on a daily basis in the range of 0.0 to 0.1%.Investors are, in addition, the surge in profits after the previous day, which saw such a barrel of light crude earn $ 1.23.

This scenario of a sudden release of nuclear energy in twelve months is not the political fiction. It is seriously considered by officials and experts. Asked about this possibility by Le Figaro last week during his visit to Paris, the new Japanese Minister of Economy, Yukio Edano, kicked into touch. And answered: "We have confirmed the safety of reactors stopped before restarting. I can not tell you when. "

Click on the thumbnail to enlarge the graphic.

Currently, only ten of fifty-four reactors are in operation cash advance in one hour.Besides the four Fukushima Daichi finally destroyed by the tsunami, forty reactors are stopped either because they were damaged on March 11, or to be auscultated. In the next six months, the ten operational reactors must undergo in turn scheduled maintenance shutdowns. Or, while mistrust of nuclear power lies in the opinion, the Government will take maximum precautions before giving the green light to restart.

A shortage of current threat does the Archipelago? The test of the summer was passed (read the story below). Yet he missed 10% of electricity generation capacity, equivalent to the production of the Netherlands, explains Laszlo Varro, head of markets for electricity, coal and gas to the International Energy Agency ( IEA).

Politicians of the old continent have already promised that a solution to the crisis would be found. "Monday morning he will have the markets, the United States, China and the IMF are convinced that Europe has a plan, a European official placed loose in the heart of the discussion. If there is no agreement, each European country will be reduced to playing individual survival. "

Meanwhile, last minute negotiations are increasing.Nicolas Sarkozy visited emergency yesterday in Frankfurt to resolve differences between France and Germany directly with Angela Merkel. No information was available for this meeting. The Wall Street Journal, the discussions would focus on the possibility of allowing the EFSF to provide collateral to support bonds issued by countries in need rather than use it to provide direct guarantees.

Chapter macroeconomic, Germany will provide the Government's economic forecasts. Across the Atlantic, the weekly claims for unemployment benefits will be published 16 hours and the resales of September and the composite indicator of economic activity.Activity in the Philadelphia area in October will be known 16 hours.

New burst of publications

As for values, the Dexia should respond to green light by the French Senate on the guarantees provided by the French state in the process of dismantling the Franco-Belgian bank. Legislators have asked, however, a principle of banking counterparties.

Pernod Ricard achieved a turnover up 6% to almost two billion euros in the first quarter of fiscal year 2011-2012, according to a statement released Thursday.

Schneider Electric has lowered its forecast its operating margin from 2011 to 14% after posting a turnover up 4.6% to 5.7 billion euros in the third quarter.

Publicis announced that he fears a slowdown in activity at the end of the year, following growth of 7.5% of sales in the third quarter, but still think recording "above market growth" over the entire the exercise.

The manufacturer of smart cards Gemalto, the world, published Thursday in the third quarter sales of 491 million euros, stable over a year and affected by the poor performance of mobile telephony.

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Tens of thousands of demonstrators, inspired by the "outrage" of Wall Street and Spain, marched Saturday in Rome, the city had been cordoned off by police. "One solution, the Revolution!", "We are not property in the hands of bankers," could be read on the signs of the protesters no fax cash advance.

In Rome, several cars were torched. Photo credits: ALBERTO PIZZOLI / AFP

According to a survey conducted in September by several associations of elected representatives, many local authorities face difficulties in borrowing from banks. "This is almost systematic refusal when the community does not have long-term loans or do not wish to subscribe again," the study said adding that the banks argue the new Basel banking standards 3 with elected officials to justify the shortage cheap business cards.

These standards penalize long-term financing that are not backed by stable resources such as bank deposits. "Basically, this means that we can not lend unless the borrower has savings," noted a banker."Now communities spared nothing."

The device will be launched "based on that the government had set up in 2008 and had been able to satisfy the financing needs of communities at the time the bank has showed signs of drying up," said the Prime Minister.

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"The negotiations on the future of Dexia accelerating

"The communities are grouped to borrow

"People panic"

A restructuring would mean a partial collapse of the country. A hypothesis that is growing in Europe as soon as possible to avoid a domino effect on subsequent Greek procrastination. Many economic analysts, as Katerina Sokou, see this as a political game. "The government hopes the restructuring of 50% but does not want to ask, she says. The idea is to pass the measures, even if they are bloody and unjust for the most disadvantaged, in order to be rewarded with a debt restructuring, while remaining within the euro area.Of course, this implies a shower of austerity for years. But having a viable Greek debt is better for Europe. "

Several other European officials have discussed in turn: Klaas Knot, Member of the Board of Governors of the European Central Bank said it had absolutely no idea of ​​a Greek default, indicating that s 'acting in one of the scenarios. This is the first member of the ECB to speak in this sense. More cryptic, the German finance minister, Wolfgang Schäuble, said he was "whether what was proposed in June and July for Greece is still sustainable in light of recent developments." At the same time, it is "too early to speculate on this idea right now," he added.

This evocation of more frequent non-payment of Greece begins to cause problems in the country."People are panicking. We receive many calls and emails requesting information, or should keep their money in the bank or not, says Sia Kossioni, presenter of TV news 20 hours SkaiTV. So we pedagogy and what it means to decrypt a bankruptcy, framed or not, a default or restructuring. "What a little more fragile banking sector, already in poor condition. Moody's dropped the rating by two notches from eight Greek banks. A decision justified by including "the expected impact of the deteriorating domestic economic environment of non-performing loans" and "still fragile liquidity position." The rating agency also believes that the outlook for the rating of the eight banks are negative.

The President of the General Council of Seine-Saint-Denis since 2007 fought first for his department. Claude Bartolone has discovered that he had contracted in 2008, led by Communists, many loans have become toxic. Thus, a debt of 953 million euros, the joint may have to pay a premium of about $ 300 million over the next ten years because of toxic loans contracted between 1997 and 2008."The equivalent of building a school year," criticizes Claude Bartolone. "And that amount could be even higher," said the MP. In fact, some of the loans contracted by the municipality are indexed to the Swiss franc and interest rates can reach 50% depending on the evolution of the franc.

Most disturbing is that the department of Seine-Saint-Denis (93) is not alone in this. MP PS refers to "hospitals, small towns or communes, departments, ports such as port of Le Havre" and "communes of all political stripes like Saint Etienne, Rouen, Saint Maur or Saint Tropez."

According to Claude Bartolone, "the total amount of toxic loans granted to public entities be around 15 billion euros of which would be 5 billion of potential losses."

"Banks can not not pay"

MP PS is clearly concerned the role of banks. He said "they are responsible for the explosive situation in the French subprime" where thousands of municipalities are now over-indebted. Indeed, it is satisfied that they have not fulfilled their code of ethics. "They had a duty to inform and how their customers customized uninitiated" or the quest for profit seems to have guided more banks. Thus, the President of the General Council 93 filed a complaint against Dexia, Depfa and Calyon (Credit Agricole). The court should rule in October. But even Claude Bartolone said that "banks can not avoid paying." The MP also believes that "the whole chain has failed." The state has not applied a circular on the prohibition of structured products and regulatory authorities have also failed in their duty.A helping hand of the state can not be excluded.

Otherwise, "the local authorities would be forced to raise local taxes, reduce investment and jobs." And technically if the failure of a local community is not possible, it can be put under the tutelage of the state as was the case of Angouleme, said the chosen PS.

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The mobile phone transmits the voice (or data) using radio waves, which propagate in the air "waves" continuous. The frequency (measured in hertz, Hz) is the number of "waves" per second.

To make the operators therefore need to get the government of frequencies, located in a strip precise and well defined, so as not to interfere with radio, television, defense, aviation and so on.

But the frequencies are inherently limited. They are therefore a scarce and highly contested. In addition, they are not all the same quality in terms of capacity and speed of propagation. To put it very simply, the more frequencies are lower, the better they are.Frequencies "low" (below 1GHz) have good propagation properties. They provide a national coverage less expensive because they require less equipment. They also have better penetration in buildings, improving coverage "indoor". Low frequencies therefore offer the best technical and economic conditions for the deployment of large networks with national coverage.

Historically, the FM radio is in the 100 MHz band, the television in the 470 to 862 MHz. Telecom operators are above the frequency band.

• 4G (voice, SMS, MMS, mobile Internet fast): 800 MHz and 2.6 GHz. The frequencies currently 4G auction are of two types.

On the one hand, the frequencies called "gold" because they are located in the low frequencies 800 MHz band.As they spread further into the atmosphere, the operators do not need to put a lot of equipment to cover a given area, making these frequencies are well adapted to cover the rural areas. But their price is high. Released during the transition to DTT, they were recovered by the government from television, through the so-called "digital dividend". Since this frequency band is close to that of television, mobile 4G can still create interference and interference with TNT in some places.

In addition of frequencies known as "high" as they are in the 2.6 GHz band. They are particularly suited to dense urban areas. But they require high investments.

• 3G (voice, SMS, MMS, mobile Internet start): 2GHz.The current generation of mobile phones, called 3G (or UMTS), operates in the 2 GHz band, with opportunities to 2.5 GHz. To ensure a good signal coverage, operators have had denser network and stations install more emissions than the generation before. The result of the economic costs and increasing difficulties to cover the white areas.

• 2G (voice, SMS, MMS): 900 MHz and 1800 MHz. The previous generation, known as 2G (or GSM), worked – and still works – in the 900 MHz band and 1800 MHz in Europe. Each operator had to build a network of more than 15,000 base stations. Bouygues Telecom, the third came on the market was at a disadvantage: he had received 1800 MHz frequencies, requiring a denser network and therefore more expensive than its competitors Orange and SFR.In the U.S., GSM in the band of 1900 MHz, hence the need for a phone "tri-band" when traveling in the United States.

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These figures engaged in a pattern opposite to that drawn by far the data of employment center. The number of job seekers Class A (comprising individuals seeking employment and not working, even part-time) has indeed increased overall in the second quarter.After a 0.4% decline in April, rebounded strongly in May and June, respectively 0.6% and 1.3% cash advance to savings account. To the extent that gains harvested since the beginning of the year were at the end of this period almost completely deleted (-2100 seekers Class A less compared to the end of December 2010). An upward trend that continued in July with a new and worrying increase in the number of unemployed.

The two institutes n'appréhendent unemployment statistically not the same. While unemployment on the ILO today released results of a survey conducted by INSEE, the data center jobs are the result of an administrative accounting. Moreover, only a person who has not worked even one hour during the week of the survey and actively seeking work are unemployed within the meaning of an International Labour Office.However, employment center distinguishes different categories (categories A, ABC …) depending on whether the job seeker is working or not. Category A is the one that is closest to the ILO data.

"Niches: plane and down the ceiling

"Companies: rising social package

"Other tracks: capital gains on the hot seat

Operation must! The government will this week attempt to convince the financial markets on its ability to control public finances. François Fillon unveiled late Wednesday afternoon in the presence of Baroin and Valerie Pécresse, the Ministers of Economy and Budget, the new conservation measures for France to retain investor confidence and its " AAA. "

The government enters the final stretch trade-offs. François Fillon and Nicolas Sarkozy meet to sort the list of suggestions made last week by Bercy (and amended by the relevant ministries) and begin to remove some tracks.Then the president and prime minister Wednesday to finalize the measures to adopt.

The government did not release the extent of the plan, but it evokes an effort between 5 and 10 billion, and a trend towards the top. The turn of the screw will break down between savings on public spending and further cuts in tax and social niches.

On this last point, the government does not start from scratch. The measures that were passed in the fall (tax on marriages, on the solar panels, niches plane, etc.). Will yield 2.4 billion in 2012. But we'll have to do much more. There is another month, the government did not request such an effort to households and businesses. He planned to take samples of only 3 billion. With 2.4 billion already in the pipeline, the step to take was minimal.But since the degradation of "AAA" rating from the United States, France finds itself under pressure from the markets. Even if it borrows at low levels (2.74% at ten years), a sign of confidence that it continues to generate, France must do everything to protect his note. For if it were lowered, the state should borrow at higher rates. According to the Court of Auditors, an increase of one point would increase the debt burden of $ 2 billion the first year. To prevent a runaway cost of debt, the government should not deviate from its route.

Increase in the social package

Paris has pledged to reduce its public deficit to 5.7% of GDP in 2011 and 4.6% in 2012. This objective was particularly complicated since the Insee reported zero growth in the second quarter. Bercy forecasts an increase of 2% of GDP in 2011 and 2.25% in 2012 now seem too optimistic.On average, economists expect now on a 1.4% growth next year. However, less growth means less tax revenue and more spending for the state, the social security and local authorities. Without necessarily announcing Wednesday a revised its growth forecasts, the government is obliged, if he wants to keep its deficit targets, to take austerity measures …

Increase in the social package for businesses, new plane and lower overall ceiling of niches, penknife devices ultramarine and real estate … the tracks are not lacking. The government also provides measures for the social security system, not to mention taxing very high incomes as suggested on Wednesday, Maurice Levy, president of Publicis and the Association of Private Enterprises (Afep), in an article in Le Monde ."We need efforts that will be requested to the French are fairly distributed," assured the same day Valerie Pécresse on Europe 1. The measures adopted will be included in budget 2012.

France can she get into the spiral of Greece, where budget cuts exacerbate the recession, which in turn widens the gap? A priori not. This year, increases in taxes, resulting from the measures passed in the fall, reached $ 12 billion. Without destabilizing the country.

Real estate: the cropped Scellier

Before the crisis, Bercy was considering reducing benefits. The pressure is greatest.

• Law Scellier

The niche Scellier reduces its tax by investing in rental real estate. It was expected that the tax reduction equal to 22% of the investment in 2011 reaches 18% in 2012.The reduction could fall to 15%.

• Ready to zero +

There are plans to reintroduce a means test for the loan (PTZ), in order to focus on vulnerable households.

• Capital gains on real estate

The capital gain on the sale of a principal residence will remain tax exempt. For other assets, the gain is taxed at 19%, plus 12.3% social. However, there is a reduction (10% per year after five years in prison) that applies to the capital gain and will disappear for undeveloped land for building. It is also the question of decline (eg 5%) for other goods.Another track: the system of reduction of the gain disappears for the payment of social security contributions.

Niches: plane and down the ceiling

The tax loopholes will undergo a new movement of the plane after the last year which affected 22 devices (Scellier, actions overseas, the tax credit for environmental equipment in the house). The rate of tax reduction was reduced by 10%: a rate of 50% was increased to 45%, a rate of 25% to 22% … The measure, however, has yet to be felt, because the first plane applies to the income tax paid in 2012, sitting on the revenues of 2011. The government planned to meet the plane in 2011 (eg 15%) and pass a new tax on plane sitting on the revenues of 2012.
Widely used devices, such as overseas benefits or tax credits for equipment of the house will still be trimmed.MPs want all the niches are planed. Others will disappear. In addition, the overall ceiling of niches, set at 6% of income over 18,000 euros, will be lowered.

Companies: rising social package

Social package, paid by companies on the profit-sharing and employee savings, should be increased from 6% to 8%. Expected gain: 400 million euros. Since its inception in 2009, the government increased the fee by 2 points every year! Systems loss carry-on prior and subsequent, which limit the corporate tax should be reduced. They benefit primarily to large companies but the government wants to rebalance the tax burden with the small. The carry-back would
limited to one year. And to carry forward losses from the profits would be capped.In Germany, the losses charged can not exceed 60% of the profit. However, the idea of ​​limiting the deductibility of loan interest is difficult to implement.

Tax on very wealthy households

The government pledged in the spring to tax high incomes, and a working group must report its findings in the fall. Two tracks are at this stage on the table to non-deductible from corporate income tax payments "extravagant" or create a new tax paid by very wealthy households. The latter option holds the rope in the government because it has the support of parliamentarians. Gilles Carrez, the rapporteur of the budget UMP
in the Assembly, propose to tax at a rate of 1% or 2% revenues exceeding one million euros per year. But Peter wants Méhaignerie the new tax applies from 150,000 euros to 200,000 euros in annual income for a couple.The lively debates ahead!

Other tracks: capital gains on the hot seat

Gilles Carrez wants the taxation of life insurance is carried over the water each year on their earnings potential, while households are now taxed when withdrawn at a variable rate depending on the length of detention ( 7.5% after eight years). Another idea: adjust the taxation of life insurance, whether it is placed in shares or products without risk. The UMP Jérôme Chartier wants to create an additional ceiling on tax loopholes, reducing to 50% of tax due from the advantage of niches. But Bercy is not favorable. Finally, many parliamentarians call for the removal of reliefs on capital gains from stocks and bonds (third year in excess of five years from 2012).